Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources project overnight lows near 16–18°C for Ankara on August 21 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 11–14°C. This positioning reflects trader focus on variables that control nocturnal radiative cooling, including low humidity, minimal cloud cover, and Ankara’s plateau elevation of roughly 900 m, which can amplify temperature drops after sunset. Small shifts in wind speed or residual daytime heat retention in the urban area could easily move the minimum across the narrow 11–14°C range, creating the observed tight clustering while higher outcomes remain discounted absent a major forecast revision.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Ankara on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 21?
12°C 62%
13°C 35%
14°C 34%
17°C 34%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
62%
13°C
35%
14°C
34%
15°C
34%
16°C
34%
17°C
34%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
12°C 62%
13°C 35%
14°C 34%
17°C 34%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
11°C or below
$125 Обс.
1%
12°C
$113 Обс.
62%
13°C
$0 Обс.
35%
14°C
$0 Обс.
34%
15°C
$0 Обс.
34%
16°C
$26 Обс.
34%
17°C
$6 Обс.
34%
18°C
$310 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$198 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$335 Обс.
<1%
21°C or higher
$1,117 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources project overnight lows near 16–18°C for Ankara on August 21 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 11–14°C. This positioning reflects trader focus on variables that control nocturnal radiative cooling, including low humidity, minimal cloud cover, and Ankara’s plateau elevation of roughly 900 m, which can amplify temperature drops after sunset. Small shifts in wind speed or residual daytime heat retention in the urban area could easily move the minimum across the narrow 11–14°C range, creating the observed tight clustering while higher outcomes remain discounted absent a major forecast revision.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,209Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources project overnight lows near 16–18°C for Ankara on August 21 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 11–14°C. This positioning reflects trader focus on variables that control nocturnal radiative cooling, including low humidity, minimal cloud cover, and Ankara’s plateau elevation of roughly 900 m, which can amplify temperature drops after sunset. Small shifts in wind speed or residual daytime heat retention in the urban area could easily move the minimum across the narrow 11–14°C range, creating the observed tight clustering while higher outcomes remain discounted absent a major forecast revision.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,209Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources project overnight lows near 16–18°C for Ankara on August 21 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 11–14°C. This positioning reflects trader focus on variables that control nocturnal radiative cooling, including low humidity, minimal cloud cover, and Ankara’s plateau elevation of roughly 900 m, which can amplify temperature drops after sunset. Small shifts in wind speed or residual daytime heat retention in the urban area could easily move the minimum across the narrow 11–14°C range, creating the observed tight clustering while higher outcomes remain discounted absent a major forecast revision.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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