Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C low for Chengdu on August 21, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction consensus from regional models. Persistent high humidity and basin topography limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while scattered showers and cloud cover—common in the East Asian monsoon regime—further moderate overnight temperatures near the seasonal average of 21–23°C. Recent forecast updates show stable steering patterns without cold-air intrusions or clear-sky episodes that could drive sharper drops, keeping probabilities for 20°C or below under 30%. Hourly guidance through dawn continues to support this range, with minimal model spread expected before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 21?
24°C 96%
21°C 53%
20°C 50%
18°C 43%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
17°C or below
18%
18°C
43%
19°C
6%
20°C
50%
21°C
53%
22°C
2%
23°C
29%
24°C
73%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
24°C 96%
21°C 53%
20°C 50%
18°C 43%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
17°C or below
$81 Обс.
18%
18°C
$61 Обс.
43%
19°C
$61 Обс.
6%
20°C
$92 Обс.
50%
21°C
$92 Обс.
53%
22°C
$92 Обс.
2%
23°C
$30 Обс.
29%
24°C
$133 Обс.
73%
25°C
$25 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$95 Обс.
<1%
27°C or higher
$95 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C low for Chengdu on August 21, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction consensus from regional models. Persistent high humidity and basin topography limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while scattered showers and cloud cover—common in the East Asian monsoon regime—further moderate overnight temperatures near the seasonal average of 21–23°C. Recent forecast updates show stable steering patterns without cold-air intrusions or clear-sky episodes that could drive sharper drops, keeping probabilities for 20°C or below under 30%. Hourly guidance through dawn continues to support this range, with minimal model spread expected before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$857Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C low for Chengdu on August 21, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction consensus from regional models. Persistent high humidity and basin topography limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while scattered showers and cloud cover—common in the East Asian monsoon regime—further moderate overnight temperatures near the seasonal average of 21–23°C. Recent forecast updates show stable steering patterns without cold-air intrusions or clear-sky episodes that could drive sharper drops, keeping probabilities for 20°C or below under 30%. Hourly guidance through dawn continues to support this range, with minimal model spread expected before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$857Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C low for Chengdu on August 21, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction consensus from regional models. Persistent high humidity and basin topography limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while scattered showers and cloud cover—common in the East Asian monsoon regime—further moderate overnight temperatures near the seasonal average of 21–23°C. Recent forecast updates show stable steering patterns without cold-air intrusions or clear-sky episodes that could drive sharper drops, keeping probabilities for 20°C or below under 30%. Hourly guidance through dawn continues to support this range, with minimal model spread expected before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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