Recent Met Office and regional forecast models show mild overnight conditions in London on August 27, with persistent cloud cover, southwesterly winds around 6–10 mph, and dew points near 14–15°C limiting radiative cooling and holding the minimum near 19°C. This aligns with the market's 98.3% implied probability for a 19°C low, reflecting trader consensus on verified observations and model consensus rather than typical August minima around 14–16°C. A shift toward clearer skies or lighter winds could allow temperatures to fall to 17–18°C before midnight, though current guidance and live station data make such a drop unlikely.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 27?
Lowest temperature in London on August 27?
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$14,282 Обс.
$14,282 Обс.
Aug 27, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$14,282 Обс.
$14,282 Обс.
Aug 27, 2026
13°C or below
$83 Обс.
No
14°C
$83 Обс.
No
15°C
$1,094 Обс.
No
16°C
$1,710 Обс.
No
17°C
$1,193 Обс.
No
18°C
$1,595 Обс.
No
19°C
$2,901 Обс.
Yes
20°C
$1,960 Обс.
No
21°C
$1,863 Обс.
No
22°C
$1,751 Обс.
No
23°C or higher
$50 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and regional forecast models show mild overnight conditions in London on August 27, with persistent cloud cover, southwesterly winds around 6–10 mph, and dew points near 14–15°C limiting radiative cooling and holding the minimum near 19°C. This aligns with the market's 98.3% implied probability for a 19°C low, reflecting trader consensus on verified observations and model consensus rather than typical August minima around 14–16°C. A shift toward clearer skies or lighter winds could allow temperatures to fall to 17–18°C before midnight, though current guidance and live station data make such a drop unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$14,282Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and regional forecast models show mild overnight conditions in London on August 27, with persistent cloud cover, southwesterly winds around 6–10 mph, and dew points near 14–15°C limiting radiative cooling and holding the minimum near 19°C. This aligns with the market's 98.3% implied probability for a 19°C low, reflecting trader consensus on verified observations and model consensus rather than typical August minima around 14–16°C. A shift toward clearer skies or lighter winds could allow temperatures to fall to 17–18°C before midnight, though current guidance and live station data make such a drop unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$14,282Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent Met Office and regional forecast models show mild overnight conditions in London on August 27, with persistent cloud cover, southwesterly winds around 6–10 mph, and dew points near 14–15°C limiting radiative cooling and holding the minimum near 19°C. This aligns with the market's 98.3% implied probability for a 19°C low, reflecting trader consensus on verified observations and model consensus rather than typical August minima around 14–16°C. A shift toward clearer skies or lighter winds could allow temperatures to fall to 17–18°C before midnight, though current guidance and live station data make such a drop unlikely.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання