Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position the overnight minimum temperature in London on May 17 most likely between 9°C and 11°C, underpinning the dominant market-implied probability for 11°C. A mild southwesterly flow of Atlantic air is limiting radiative cooling beneath variable cloud cover, aligning closely with the historical May average low of roughly 9°C at Heathrow. Model spread arises chiefly from differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which introduce modest uncertainty reflected in the smaller probabilities assigned to 10°C or cooler outcomes. Updated official guidance will refine the exact low as observations accumulate through the night.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on May 17?
Lowest temperature in London on May 17?
11°C 90%
10°C 10%
4°C <1%
7°C <1%
$9,899 Обс.
$9,899 Обс.
May 17, 2026
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
10%
11°C
80%
12°C or higher
<1%
11°C 90%
10°C 10%
4°C <1%
7°C <1%
$9,899 Обс.
$9,899 Обс.
May 17, 2026
2°C or below
$343 Обс.
<1%
3°C
$526 Обс.
<1%
4°C
$905 Обс.
1%
5°C
$466 Обс.
<1%
6°C
$634 Обс.
<1%
7°C
$589 Обс.
1%
8°C
$2,671 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$692 Обс.
1%
10°C
$298 Обс.
10%
11°C
$418 Обс.
80%
12°C or higher
$2,390 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position the overnight minimum temperature in London on May 17 most likely between 9°C and 11°C, underpinning the dominant market-implied probability for 11°C. A mild southwesterly flow of Atlantic air is limiting radiative cooling beneath variable cloud cover, aligning closely with the historical May average low of roughly 9°C at Heathrow. Model spread arises chiefly from differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which introduce modest uncertainty reflected in the smaller probabilities assigned to 10°C or cooler outcomes. Updated official guidance will refine the exact low as observations accumulate through the night.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$9,899Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position the overnight minimum temperature in London on May 17 most likely between 9°C and 11°C, underpinning the dominant market-implied probability for 11°C. A mild southwesterly flow of Atlantic air is limiting radiative cooling beneath variable cloud cover, aligning closely with the historical May average low of roughly 9°C at Heathrow. Model spread arises chiefly from differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which introduce modest uncertainty reflected in the smaller probabilities assigned to 10°C or cooler outcomes. Updated official guidance will refine the exact low as observations accumulate through the night.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$9,899Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position the overnight minimum temperature in London on May 17 most likely between 9°C and 11°C, underpinning the dominant market-implied probability for 11°C. A mild southwesterly flow of Atlantic air is limiting radiative cooling beneath variable cloud cover, aligning closely with the historical May average low of roughly 9°C at Heathrow. Model spread arises chiefly from differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which introduce modest uncertainty reflected in the smaller probabilities assigned to 10°C or cooler outcomes. Updated official guidance will refine the exact low as observations accumulate through the night.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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