Recent model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF places London's overnight low on May 18 near 8–10°C, with ensemble spreads explaining the market's near-even distribution across those outcomes. Cloud cover and light showers expected overnight will limit radiative cooling, while variable wind speeds and humidity levels create uncertainty in how far temperatures dip before dawn. Historical May minima in London average 8–9°C, providing a baseline traders are weighing against the latest guidance showing slightly above-normal conditions. Updated short-range runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will tighten the range and likely shift probabilities among the leading bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on May 18?
Lowest temperature in London on May 18?
8°C 23%
12°C or higher 22.0%
9°C 18%
7°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
2°C or below
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
16%
8°C
22%
9°C
25%
10°C
11%
11°C
5%
12°C or higher
13%
8°C 23%
12°C or higher 22.0%
9°C 18%
7°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
2°C or below
$52 Обс.
1%
3°C
$52 Обс.
1%
4°C
$65 Обс.
1%
5°C
$296 Обс.
1%
6°C
$62 Обс.
1%
7°C
$26 Обс.
16%
8°C
$15 Обс.
22%
9°C
$15 Обс.
25%
10°C
$0 Обс.
11%
11°C
$0 Обс.
5%
12°C or higher
$81 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF places London's overnight low on May 18 near 8–10°C, with ensemble spreads explaining the market's near-even distribution across those outcomes. Cloud cover and light showers expected overnight will limit radiative cooling, while variable wind speeds and humidity levels create uncertainty in how far temperatures dip before dawn. Historical May minima in London average 8–9°C, providing a baseline traders are weighing against the latest guidance showing slightly above-normal conditions. Updated short-range runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will tighten the range and likely shift probabilities among the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$664Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF places London's overnight low on May 18 near 8–10°C, with ensemble spreads explaining the market's near-even distribution across those outcomes. Cloud cover and light showers expected overnight will limit radiative cooling, while variable wind speeds and humidity levels create uncertainty in how far temperatures dip before dawn. Historical May minima in London average 8–9°C, providing a baseline traders are weighing against the latest guidance showing slightly above-normal conditions. Updated short-range runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will tighten the range and likely shift probabilities among the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$664Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF places London's overnight low on May 18 near 8–10°C, with ensemble spreads explaining the market's near-even distribution across those outcomes. Cloud cover and light showers expected overnight will limit radiative cooling, while variable wind speeds and humidity levels create uncertainty in how far temperatures dip before dawn. Historical May minima in London average 8–9°C, providing a baseline traders are weighing against the latest guidance showing slightly above-normal conditions. Updated short-range runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will tighten the range and likely shift probabilities among the leading bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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