Latest Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 7°C in London on May 16, driven by persistent cloud cover and light westerly winds that suppress radiative cooling overnight. This positioning aligns with ensemble guidance showing limited temperature drops under stable atmospheric conditions, consistent with mid-May climatology where urban heat-island effects in central London typically moderate minima by 1–2°C relative to rural sites. Model consensus from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reinforces this outcome, with only marginal potential for slight deviations if boundary-layer mixing strengthens or partial clearings develop. Resolution hinges on official overnight observations, leaving little room for surprise shifts absent rapid changes in synoptic patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on May 16?
7°C 99.5%
6°C <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$20,370 Обс.
$20,370 Обс.
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
100%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C or higher
<1%
7°C 99.5%
6°C <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$20,370 Обс.
$20,370 Обс.
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
100%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCLatest Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 7°C in London on May 16, driven by persistent cloud cover and light westerly winds that suppress radiative cooling overnight. This positioning aligns with ensemble guidance showing limited temperature drops under stable atmospheric conditions, consistent with mid-May climatology where urban heat-island effects in central London typically moderate minima by 1–2°C relative to rural sites. Model consensus from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reinforces this outcome, with only marginal potential for slight deviations if boundary-layer mixing strengthens or partial clearings develop. Resolution hinges on official overnight observations, leaving little room for surprise shifts absent rapid changes in synoptic patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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