Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a shallow marine layer and moderate onshore flow keeping the overnight low for Los Angeles on August 21 near or slightly above the 66 °F August climatological average at KLAX. Limited nocturnal cooling under a weak inversion, combined with sea-surface temperatures near 68–70 °F, favors readings in the mid-to-upper 60s rather than the sub-62 °F tail. Trader emphasis on the 61 °F-or-below outcome (38.5 % implied) appears to embed residual uncertainty around marine-layer deepening or localized fog development, while the cluster of probabilities around 66–75 °F reflects the narrow historical range and current forecast spread. Updated NWS briefings and evening model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 21?
68-69°F 52%
61°F or below 39%
70-71°F 28%
66-67°F 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
61°F or below
39%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
23%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
29%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
2%
80°F or higher
1%
68-69°F 52%
61°F or below 39%
70-71°F 28%
66-67°F 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
61°F or below
$50 Обс.
39%
62-63°F
$0 Обс.
18%
64-65°F
$0 Обс.
23%
66-67°F
$0 Обс.
27%
68-69°F
$6 Обс.
29%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
28%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
27%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
27%
76-77°F
$55 Обс.
5%
78-79°F
$32 Обс.
2%
80°F or higher
$32 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a shallow marine layer and moderate onshore flow keeping the overnight low for Los Angeles on August 21 near or slightly above the 66 °F August climatological average at KLAX. Limited nocturnal cooling under a weak inversion, combined with sea-surface temperatures near 68–70 °F, favors readings in the mid-to-upper 60s rather than the sub-62 °F tail. Trader emphasis on the 61 °F-or-below outcome (38.5 % implied) appears to embed residual uncertainty around marine-layer deepening or localized fog development, while the cluster of probabilities around 66–75 °F reflects the narrow historical range and current forecast spread. Updated NWS briefings and evening model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$175Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a shallow marine layer and moderate onshore flow keeping the overnight low for Los Angeles on August 21 near or slightly above the 66 °F August climatological average at KLAX. Limited nocturnal cooling under a weak inversion, combined with sea-surface temperatures near 68–70 °F, favors readings in the mid-to-upper 60s rather than the sub-62 °F tail. Trader emphasis on the 61 °F-or-below outcome (38.5 % implied) appears to embed residual uncertainty around marine-layer deepening or localized fog development, while the cluster of probabilities around 66–75 °F reflects the narrow historical range and current forecast spread. Updated NWS briefings and evening model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$175Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a shallow marine layer and moderate onshore flow keeping the overnight low for Los Angeles on August 21 near or slightly above the 66 °F August climatological average at KLAX. Limited nocturnal cooling under a weak inversion, combined with sea-surface temperatures near 68–70 °F, favors readings in the mid-to-upper 60s rather than the sub-62 °F tail. Trader emphasis on the 61 °F-or-below outcome (38.5 % implied) appears to embed residual uncertainty around marine-layer deepening or localized fog development, while the cluster of probabilities around 66–75 °F reflects the narrow historical range and current forecast spread. Updated NWS briefings and evening model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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