Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low near 80–81°F in Miami on August 12, aligning with trader emphasis on that bin. Persistent easterly flow and high atmospheric moisture limit radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, while the urban heat island and Atlantic sea surface temperatures near 86°F sustain elevated minimums typical of peak summer. Model consensus shows little deviation from the 78–82°F climatological range for the date, with any scattered showers offering only marginal cooling potential. The absence of a frontal passage or tropical moisture surge in the latest runs reinforces the current market-implied distribution ahead of official Miami International Airport observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on August 12?
80-81°F 42%
82-83°F 24%
78-79°F 21%
76-77°F 9%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
42%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 42%
82-83°F 24%
78-79°F 21%
76-77°F 9%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
42%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low near 80–81°F in Miami on August 12, aligning with trader emphasis on that bin. Persistent easterly flow and high atmospheric moisture limit radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, while the urban heat island and Atlantic sea surface temperatures near 86°F sustain elevated minimums typical of peak summer. Model consensus shows little deviation from the 78–82°F climatological range for the date, with any scattered showers offering only marginal cooling potential. The absence of a frontal passage or tropical moisture surge in the latest runs reinforces the current market-implied distribution ahead of official Miami International Airport observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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