Recent model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON runs shows high pressure dominating central Europe with light easterly flow and mostly clear skies over Munich on August 27, supporting minimum temperatures clustered near the historical average low of 12.9 °C. Clear nocturnal conditions favor radiative cooling, yet elevated dew points near 14–16 °C and minimal cloud cover limit further drops, producing a tight distribution of expected lows between roughly 12–16 °C. Traders appear to weigh these stable late-summer patterns against minor model spread in overnight minimums, with fresh high-resolution runs expected to narrow uncertainty before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Munich on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 27?
14°C 27%
16°C 25%
15°C 25%
12°C 24%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
10°C or below
15%
11°C
13%
12°C
24%
13°C
24%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
10%
18°C
16%
19°C
15%
20°C or higher
13%
14°C 27%
16°C 25%
15°C 25%
12°C 24%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
10°C or below
$5 Обс.
15%
11°C
$123 Обс.
13%
12°C
$0 Обс.
24%
13°C
$0 Обс.
24%
14°C
$0 Обс.
27%
15°C
$0 Обс.
25%
16°C
$0 Обс.
25%
17°C
$0 Обс.
10%
18°C
$5 Обс.
16%
19°C
$5 Обс.
15%
20°C or higher
$5 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON runs shows high pressure dominating central Europe with light easterly flow and mostly clear skies over Munich on August 27, supporting minimum temperatures clustered near the historical average low of 12.9 °C. Clear nocturnal conditions favor radiative cooling, yet elevated dew points near 14–16 °C and minimal cloud cover limit further drops, producing a tight distribution of expected lows between roughly 12–16 °C. Traders appear to weigh these stable late-summer patterns against minor model spread in overnight minimums, with fresh high-resolution runs expected to narrow uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$143Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON runs shows high pressure dominating central Europe with light easterly flow and mostly clear skies over Munich on August 27, supporting minimum temperatures clustered near the historical average low of 12.9 °C. Clear nocturnal conditions favor radiative cooling, yet elevated dew points near 14–16 °C and minimal cloud cover limit further drops, producing a tight distribution of expected lows between roughly 12–16 °C. Traders appear to weigh these stable late-summer patterns against minor model spread in overnight minimums, with fresh high-resolution runs expected to narrow uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$143Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON runs shows high pressure dominating central Europe with light easterly flow and mostly clear skies over Munich on August 27, supporting minimum temperatures clustered near the historical average low of 12.9 °C. Clear nocturnal conditions favor radiative cooling, yet elevated dew points near 14–16 °C and minimal cloud cover limit further drops, producing a tight distribution of expected lows between roughly 12–16 °C. Traders appear to weigh these stable late-summer patterns against minor model spread in overnight minimums, with fresh high-resolution runs expected to narrow uncertainty before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання