Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate Munich's minimum temperature on August 29 will likely fall between 13–16°C, aligning with the market's tightly clustered probabilities around those outcomes and the 1991–2020 average low of 12.7°C. Overnight radiative cooling under clearing skies after scattered showers, combined with light westerly winds, supports this range, though slight variations in cloud timing or wind strength could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Recent model runs show modest spread, leaving room for resolution near 13°C or 15°C depending on final observations, consistent with historical late-August variability in southern Germany.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Munich on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 29?
16°C 48%
15°C 47%
13°C 33%
14°C 30%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
10°C or below
2%
11°C
22%
12°C
13%
13°C
33%
14°C
30%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
5%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 48%
15°C 47%
13°C 33%
14°C 30%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
10°C or below
$101 Обс.
2%
11°C
$25 Обс.
22%
12°C
$8 Обс.
13%
13°C
$0 Обс.
33%
14°C
$0 Обс.
30%
15°C
$64 Обс.
27%
16°C
$62 Обс.
26%
17°C
$0 Обс.
5%
18°C
$5 Обс.
3%
19°C
$5 Обс.
1%
20°C or higher
$5 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate Munich's minimum temperature on August 29 will likely fall between 13–16°C, aligning with the market's tightly clustered probabilities around those outcomes and the 1991–2020 average low of 12.7°C. Overnight radiative cooling under clearing skies after scattered showers, combined with light westerly winds, supports this range, though slight variations in cloud timing or wind strength could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Recent model runs show modest spread, leaving room for resolution near 13°C or 15°C depending on final observations, consistent with historical late-August variability in southern Germany.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$275Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate Munich's minimum temperature on August 29 will likely fall between 13–16°C, aligning with the market's tightly clustered probabilities around those outcomes and the 1991–2020 average low of 12.7°C. Overnight radiative cooling under clearing skies after scattered showers, combined with light westerly winds, supports this range, though slight variations in cloud timing or wind strength could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Recent model runs show modest spread, leaving room for resolution near 13°C or 15°C depending on final observations, consistent with historical late-August variability in southern Germany.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$275Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate Munich's minimum temperature on August 29 will likely fall between 13–16°C, aligning with the market's tightly clustered probabilities around those outcomes and the 1991–2020 average low of 12.7°C. Overnight radiative cooling under clearing skies after scattered showers, combined with light westerly winds, supports this range, though slight variations in cloud timing or wind strength could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Recent model runs show modest spread, leaving room for resolution near 13°C or 15°C depending on final observations, consistent with historical late-August variability in southern Germany.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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