Trader consensus on a 13°C low for Warsaw on August 28 reflects current high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and radiative cooling under light southeast winds that have allowed overnight temperatures to bottom near that threshold. Official forecasts from regional models consistently project minimums of 14–17°C, with recent observations showing a steady drop to the mid-teens before dawn, aligning closely with the market's dominant 98.5% implied probability for 13°C. This outcome sits within normal late-August variability for the region, where average lows hover near 15°C. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover or stronger advection could push readings higher and challenge the positioning before final verification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 28?
13°C 99%
11°C 10%
10°C 6%
12°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
6%
11°C
10%
12°C
2%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99%
11°C 10%
10°C 6%
12°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
9°C or below
$89 Обс.
1%
10°C
$143 Обс.
6%
11°C
$70 Обс.
10%
12°C
$75 Обс.
2%
13°C
$144 Обс.
99%
14°C
$220 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$200 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$45 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$469 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$129 Обс.
<1%
19°C or higher
$79 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 13°C low for Warsaw on August 28 reflects current high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and radiative cooling under light southeast winds that have allowed overnight temperatures to bottom near that threshold. Official forecasts from regional models consistently project minimums of 14–17°C, with recent observations showing a steady drop to the mid-teens before dawn, aligning closely with the market's dominant 98.5% implied probability for 13°C. This outcome sits within normal late-August variability for the region, where average lows hover near 15°C. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover or stronger advection could push readings higher and challenge the positioning before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,662Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 13°C low for Warsaw on August 28 reflects current high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and radiative cooling under light southeast winds that have allowed overnight temperatures to bottom near that threshold. Official forecasts from regional models consistently project minimums of 14–17°C, with recent observations showing a steady drop to the mid-teens before dawn, aligning closely with the market's dominant 98.5% implied probability for 13°C. This outcome sits within normal late-August variability for the region, where average lows hover near 15°C. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover or stronger advection could push readings higher and challenge the positioning before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,662Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on a 13°C low for Warsaw on August 28 reflects current high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and radiative cooling under light southeast winds that have allowed overnight temperatures to bottom near that threshold. Official forecasts from regional models consistently project minimums of 14–17°C, with recent observations showing a steady drop to the mid-teens before dawn, aligning closely with the market's dominant 98.5% implied probability for 13°C. This outcome sits within normal late-August variability for the region, where average lows hover near 15°C. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover or stronger advection could push readings higher and challenge the positioning before final verification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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