The Mato Grosso gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented ahead of the October 2026 vote, with trader consensus reflecting a tight contest among multiple viable contenders including Wellington Fagundes, Doutora Natasha, Mauricio Coelho, Otaviano Pivetta, and Sargento Laudicério. Recent August polls from Real Time Big Data and other firms show Fagundes (PL) ahead in stimulated scenarios around 27-34%, followed by incumbent Pivetta (Republicanos) at 20-26% and Natasha Slhessarenko (PSD) in the low teens, though undecided voters and vote splitting sustain uncertainty. Party withdrawals, such as União Brasil stepping back from Jayme Campos, and the focus on agronegócio priorities have not yet consolidated support behind any single candidate. This dynamic keeps implied probabilities clustered, with separation likely hinging on coalition formations, debate performances, or shifts in turnout among rural and urban blocs before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOtaviano Pivetta 44%
Wellington Fagundes 42%
Mauricio Coelho 28%
Sargento Laudicério 23%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Otaviano Pivetta
44%
Wellington Fagundes
42%
Mauricio Coelho
28%
Sargento Laudicério
23%
Rafaell Milas
8%
Doutora Natasha
43%
Otaviano Pivetta 44%
Wellington Fagundes 42%
Mauricio Coelho 28%
Sargento Laudicério 23%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Otaviano Pivetta
$21 Обс.
44%
Wellington Fagundes
$62 Обс.
42%
Mauricio Coelho
$46 Обс.
28%
Sargento Laudicério
$0 Обс.
23%
Rafaell Milas
$0 Обс.
8%
Doutora Natasha
$46 Обс.
43%
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Mato Grosso gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented ahead of the October 2026 vote, with trader consensus reflecting a tight contest among multiple viable contenders including Wellington Fagundes, Doutora Natasha, Mauricio Coelho, Otaviano Pivetta, and Sargento Laudicério. Recent August polls from Real Time Big Data and other firms show Fagundes (PL) ahead in stimulated scenarios around 27-34%, followed by incumbent Pivetta (Republicanos) at 20-26% and Natasha Slhessarenko (PSD) in the low teens, though undecided voters and vote splitting sustain uncertainty. Party withdrawals, such as União Brasil stepping back from Jayme Campos, and the focus on agronegócio priorities have not yet consolidated support behind any single candidate. This dynamic keeps implied probabilities clustered, with separation likely hinging on coalition formations, debate performances, or shifts in turnout among rural and urban blocs before election day.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
Обсяг
$175Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Mato Grosso gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented ahead of the October 2026 vote, with trader consensus reflecting a tight contest among multiple viable contenders including Wellington Fagundes, Doutora Natasha, Mauricio Coelho, Otaviano Pivetta, and Sargento Laudicério. Recent August polls from Real Time Big Data and other firms show Fagundes (PL) ahead in stimulated scenarios around 27-34%, followed by incumbent Pivetta (Republicanos) at 20-26% and Natasha Slhessarenko (PSD) in the low teens, though undecided voters and vote splitting sustain uncertainty. Party withdrawals, such as União Brasil stepping back from Jayme Campos, and the focus on agronegócio priorities have not yet consolidated support behind any single candidate. This dynamic keeps implied probabilities clustered, with separation likely hinging on coalition formations, debate performances, or shifts in turnout among rural and urban blocs before election day.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$175Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented ahead of the October 2026 vote, with trader consensus reflecting a tight contest among multiple viable contenders including Wellington Fagundes, Doutora Natasha, Mauricio Coelho, Otaviano Pivetta, and Sargento Laudicério. Recent August polls from Real Time Big Data and other firms show Fagundes (PL) ahead in stimulated scenarios around 27-34%, followed by incumbent Pivetta (Republicanos) at 20-26% and Natasha Slhessarenko (PSD) in the low teens, though undecided voters and vote splitting sustain uncertainty. Party withdrawals, such as União Brasil stepping back from Jayme Campos, and the focus on agronegócio priorities have not yet consolidated support behind any single candidate. This dynamic keeps implied probabilities clustered, with separation likely hinging on coalition formations, debate performances, or shifts in turnout among rural and urban blocs before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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