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Політика·Первинні

NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner
Політика·Первинні

NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner

Ritchie Torres 92%

Michael Blake 5.7%

Dalourny Nemorin 1.6%

Amanda Septimo <1%

Polymarket

$30,245 Обс.

Ritchie Torres 92%

Michael Blake 5.7%

Dalourny Nemorin 1.6%

Amanda Septimo <1%

Polymarket

$30,245 Обс.

Ritchie Torres

$5,255 Обс.

92%

Michael Blake

$3,411 Обс.

6%

Dalourny Nemorin

$14,363 Обс.

2%

Amanda Septimo

$7,216 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ritchie Torres maintains a commanding lead in the NY-15 Democratic primary due to extensive local endorsements from over a dozen Bronx elected officials, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, and the New York State United Teachers union, combined with a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $5 million raised by early 2026. These factors reflect strong institutional support within the district and among party leaders, alongside Torres's record on housing, healthcare infrastructure, and federal aid for the Bronx. Challengers including Michael Blake have centered criticism on Torres's foreign policy positions and campaign contributions, yet have not closed the gap in endorsements or resources. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unexpectedly high turnout among progressive voters or late-breaking developments affecting candidate viability, though structural barriers such as Torres's established voter base make such shifts improbable before the June 23 vote.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$30,245
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ritchie Torres maintains a commanding lead in the NY-15 Democratic primary due to extensive local endorsements from over a dozen Bronx elected officials, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, and the New York State United Teachers union, combined with a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $5 million raised by early 2026. These factors reflect strong institutional support within the district and among party leaders, alongside Torres's record on housing, healthcare infrastructure, and federal aid for the Bronx. Challengers including Michael Blake have centered criticism on Torres's foreign policy positions and campaign contributions, yet have not closed the gap in endorsements or resources. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unexpectedly high turnout among progressive voters or late-breaking developments affecting candidate viability, though structural barriers such as Torres's established voter base make such shifts improbable before the June 23 vote.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$30,245
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Ritchie Torres» з 92%, далі «Michael Blake» з 6%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $30.2K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 25, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Ritchie Torres» з 92%. Наступний — «Michael Blake» з 6%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.