Recent polling averages from aggregators such as the New York Times and Ballotpedia have held steady near 37-38 percent in early August 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 33 to 39 percent amid consistent partisan divides. This stability, following gradual declines earlier in the second term tied to economic concerns like inflation, positions the 38.0–38.4 range as the modal outcome in trader assessments. High-quality polls released in the past week, including YouGov and others, have reinforced this narrow band without major shifts, while net approval metrics remain negative at levels comparable to historical lows for the period. The tight clustering of probabilities around these brackets reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating the latest data releases and the limited time remaining before the August 14 measurement window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено38.0–38.4 51%
37.5–37.9 26%
38.5–38.9 16%
37.0–37.4 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
<37.0
1%
37.0–37.4
9%
37.5–37.9
26%
38.0–38.4
51%
38.5–38.9
16%
39.0+
2%
38.0–38.4 51%
37.5–37.9 26%
38.5–38.9 16%
37.0–37.4 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
<37.0
$602 Обс.
1%
37.0–37.4
$430 Обс.
9%
37.5–37.9
$630 Обс.
26%
38.0–38.4
$714 Обс.
51%
38.5–38.9
$954 Обс.
16%
39.0+
$780 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages from aggregators such as the New York Times and Ballotpedia have held steady near 37-38 percent in early August 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 33 to 39 percent amid consistent partisan divides. This stability, following gradual declines earlier in the second term tied to economic concerns like inflation, positions the 38.0–38.4 range as the modal outcome in trader assessments. High-quality polls released in the past week, including YouGov and others, have reinforced this narrow band without major shifts, while net approval metrics remain negative at levels comparable to historical lows for the period. The tight clustering of probabilities around these brackets reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating the latest data releases and the limited time remaining before the August 14 measurement window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,110Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages from aggregators such as the New York Times and Ballotpedia have held steady near 37-38 percent in early August 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 33 to 39 percent amid consistent partisan divides. This stability, following gradual declines earlier in the second term tied to economic concerns like inflation, positions the 38.0–38.4 range as the modal outcome in trader assessments. High-quality polls released in the past week, including YouGov and others, have reinforced this narrow band without major shifts, while net approval metrics remain negative at levels comparable to historical lows for the period. The tight clustering of probabilities around these brackets reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating the latest data releases and the limited time remaining before the August 14 measurement window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Обсяг
$4,110Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages from aggregators such as the New York Times and Ballotpedia have held steady near 37-38 percent in early August 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 33 to 39 percent amid consistent partisan divides. This stability, following gradual declines earlier in the second term tied to economic concerns like inflation, positions the 38.0–38.4 range as the modal outcome in trader assessments. High-quality polls released in the past week, including YouGov and others, have reinforced this narrow band without major shifts, while net approval metrics remain negative at levels comparable to historical lows for the period. The tight clustering of probabilities around these brackets reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating the latest data releases and the limited time remaining before the August 14 measurement window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання