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Політика·Первинні

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Політика·Первинні

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Elaine Luria 85%

James Osyf 10.2%

Matt Strickler 3.6%

Burk Stringfellow 3.4%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Elaine Luria 85%

James Osyf 10.2%

Matt Strickler 3.6%

Burk Stringfellow 3.4%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Elaine Luria

$1,330 Обс.

85%

James Osyf

$1,112 Обс.

10%

Matt Strickler

$594 Обс.

4%

Burk Stringfellow

$616 Обс.

3%

Patrick Mosolf

$1,514 Обс.

3%

Nila Devanath

$878 Обс.

1%

Nicolaus Sleister

$1,035 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Representative Elaine Luria dominates trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability to win the VA-02 Democratic primary on August 4, driven by her proven track record representing the military-heavy district from 2019 to 2023, superior fundraising exceeding $1.75 million in Q1 2026 with over $2 million cash on hand, and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee inclusion on its Red to Blue target list in February. Matt Strickler's April 28 withdrawal after six months in the race—pledging support for the nominee—further consolidated backing behind Luria, elevating her from a crowded field of seven. Lesser-known challengers like Navy reservist James Osyf, former USAID contractor Patrick Mosolf, and physician Nila Devanath trail due to limited resources and name recognition, with no public primary polls available ahead of early voting starting June 19.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$7,079
Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Representative Elaine Luria dominates trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability to win the VA-02 Democratic primary on August 4, driven by her proven track record representing the military-heavy district from 2019 to 2023, superior fundraising exceeding $1.75 million in Q1 2026 with over $2 million cash on hand, and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee inclusion on its Red to Blue target list in February. Matt Strickler's April 28 withdrawal after six months in the race—pledging support for the nominee—further consolidated backing behind Luria, elevating her from a crowded field of seven. Lesser-known challengers like Navy reservist James Osyf, former USAID contractor Patrick Mosolf, and physician Nila Devanath trail due to limited resources and name recognition, with no public primary polls available ahead of early voting starting June 19.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$7,079
Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Elaine Luria» з 85%, далі «James Osyf» з 10%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Nov 25, 2025. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Elaine Luria» з 85%. Наступний — «James Osyf» з 10%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.