Incumbent Democrat Pramila Jayapal's recent filing for a sixth term solidifies trader consensus at 95.5% for a Democratic Party win in WA-07, a deep-blue district with D+39 partisan voter index where Kamala Harris took 86% in 2024. Jayapal dominated prior cycles with 84% margins, boasting $2 million cash-on-hand post-May 8 filing deadline, dwarfing challengers including underfunded Republican Nirav Sheth and Democrat Gwen Kirkland. The August 4 top-two primary likely advances two Democrats, ensuring a party hold in this safe Democratic seat per Cook and Sabato ratings. Realistic challenges require a Jayapal scandal, dropout, or extraordinary national Republican wave flipping Seattle-area turnout.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWA-07 House Election Winner
WA-07 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,256 Обс.
96%
Republican Party
$1,753 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pramila Jayapal's recent filing for a sixth term solidifies trader consensus at 95.5% for a Democratic Party win in WA-07, a deep-blue district with D+39 partisan voter index where Kamala Harris took 86% in 2024. Jayapal dominated prior cycles with 84% margins, boasting $2 million cash-on-hand post-May 8 filing deadline, dwarfing challengers including underfunded Republican Nirav Sheth and Democrat Gwen Kirkland. The August 4 top-two primary likely advances two Democrats, ensuring a party hold in this safe Democratic seat per Cook and Sabato ratings. Realistic challenges require a Jayapal scandal, dropout, or extraordinary national Republican wave flipping Seattle-area turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,009Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pramila Jayapal's recent filing for a sixth term solidifies trader consensus at 95.5% for a Democratic Party win in WA-07, a deep-blue district with D+39 partisan voter index where Kamala Harris took 86% in 2024. Jayapal dominated prior cycles with 84% margins, boasting $2 million cash-on-hand post-May 8 filing deadline, dwarfing challengers including underfunded Republican Nirav Sheth and Democrat Gwen Kirkland. The August 4 top-two primary likely advances two Democrats, ensuring a party hold in this safe Democratic seat per Cook and Sabato ratings. Realistic challenges require a Jayapal scandal, dropout, or extraordinary national Republican wave flipping Seattle-area turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$5,009Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Pramila Jayapal's recent filing for a sixth term solidifies trader consensus at 95.5% for a Democratic Party win in WA-07, a deep-blue district with D+39 partisan voter index where Kamala Harris took 86% in 2024. Jayapal dominated prior cycles with 84% margins, boasting $2 million cash-on-hand post-May 8 filing deadline, dwarfing challengers including underfunded Republican Nirav Sheth and Democrat Gwen Kirkland. The August 4 top-two primary likely advances two Democrats, ensuring a party hold in this safe Democratic seat per Cook and Sabato ratings. Realistic challenges require a Jayapal scandal, dropout, or extraordinary national Republican wave flipping Seattle-area turnout.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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