United Russia maintains a commanding position as the incumbent ruling party with extensive organizational reach and consistent leads in pre-election polling ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma vote. Its federal list features high-profile figures aligned with the Kremlin, supporting expectations of another constitutional majority in the 450-seat chamber under the mixed electoral system. New People has gained traction in several recent surveys, occasionally ranking second and ahead of the CPRF and LDPR, which accounts for its elevated secondary probability as traders weigh potential modest gains for this newer systemic option. The remaining parties encounter higher barriers from the 5% threshold, weaker regional structures, and limited visibility in the campaign environment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЯка партія отримає найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Росії?
Єдина Росія (ЄР) 69%
Нові люди (NL) 23.4%
Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР) 4.7%
Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ) 2.4%
$16,799,513 Обс.
$16,799,513 Обс.

Єдина Росія (ЄР)
69%

Нові люди (NL)
23%

Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР)
5%

Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ)
2%

Справедлива Росія — За правду (СРЗП)
<1%

Родіна
<1%

Громадянська платформа (ГП)
<1%
Єдина Росія (ЄР) 69%
Нові люди (NL) 23.4%
Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР) 4.7%
Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ) 2.4%
$16,799,513 Обс.
$16,799,513 Обс.

Єдина Росія (ЄР)
69%

Нові люди (NL)
23%

Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР)
5%

Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ)
2%

Справедлива Росія — За правду (СРЗП)
<1%

Родіна
<1%

Громадянська платформа (ГП)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding position as the incumbent ruling party with extensive organizational reach and consistent leads in pre-election polling ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma vote. Its federal list features high-profile figures aligned with the Kremlin, supporting expectations of another constitutional majority in the 450-seat chamber under the mixed electoral system. New People has gained traction in several recent surveys, occasionally ranking second and ahead of the CPRF and LDPR, which accounts for its elevated secondary probability as traders weigh potential modest gains for this newer systemic option. The remaining parties encounter higher barriers from the 5% threshold, weaker regional structures, and limited visibility in the campaign environment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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