United Russia maintains its dominant position as the ruling party ahead of the September 2026 State Duma elections under Russia's mixed electoral system of party lists and single-member districts. Recent Kremlin preparations, including party primaries and efforts to incorporate war veterans as candidates, reinforce its structural advantages and path to the largest seat total. Some independent polls show New People rising to around 12-13 percent support and occasionally placing second, reflecting modest gains for this newer systemic option, while CPRF, LDPR, and smaller parties trail further behind in voter intention surveys. Trader consensus prices these outcomes accordingly, with United Russia heavily favored to secure the most seats due to incumbency, administrative resources, and historical results, though the five-percent threshold and regional dynamics leave limited room for shifts among the others.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЯка партія отримає найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Росії?
Єдина Росія (ЄР) 69%
Нові люди (NL) 24.4%
Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР) 4.7%
Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ) 2.4%
$16,777,331 Обс.
$16,777,331 Обс.

Єдина Росія (ЄР)
69%

Нові люди (NL)
24%

Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР)
5%

Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ)
2%

Справедлива Росія — За правду (СРЗП)
<1%

Родіна
<1%

Громадянська платформа (ГП)
<1%
Єдина Росія (ЄР) 69%
Нові люди (NL) 24.4%
Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР) 4.7%
Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ) 2.4%
$16,777,331 Обс.
$16,777,331 Обс.

Єдина Росія (ЄР)
69%

Нові люди (NL)
24%

Ліберально-демократична партія Росії (ЛДПР)
5%

Комуністична партія Російської Федерації (КПРФ)
2%

Справедлива Росія — За правду (СРЗП)
<1%

Родіна
<1%

Громадянська платформа (ГП)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its dominant position as the ruling party ahead of the September 2026 State Duma elections under Russia's mixed electoral system of party lists and single-member districts. Recent Kremlin preparations, including party primaries and efforts to incorporate war veterans as candidates, reinforce its structural advantages and path to the largest seat total. Some independent polls show New People rising to around 12-13 percent support and occasionally placing second, reflecting modest gains for this newer systemic option, while CPRF, LDPR, and smaller parties trail further behind in voter intention surveys. Trader consensus prices these outcomes accordingly, with United Russia heavily favored to secure the most seats due to incumbency, administrative resources, and historical results, though the five-percent threshold and regional dynamics leave limited room for shifts among the others.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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