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Вибори·Трамп

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

icon for Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?
Вибори·Трамп

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

Scott Wiener 94%

Saikat Chakrabarti 7.2%

Connie Chan 2.9%

Cole Bettles <1%

Polymarket

$357,823 Обс.

Scott Wiener 94%

Saikat Chakrabarti 7.2%

Connie Chan 2.9%

Cole Bettles <1%

Polymarket

$357,823 Обс.

Scott Wiener

$39,974 Обс.

94%

Saikat Chakrabarti

$23,596 Обс.

7%

Connie Chan

$206,202 Обс.

3%

Cole Bettles

$15,637 Обс.

<1%

Darren Helton

$19,341 Обс.

<1%

Jingchao Xiong

$41,376 Обс.

<1%

David Ganezer

$11,696 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Senator Scott Wiener holds a commanding lead in the Democratic primary for California’s 11th Congressional District, reflecting strong party endorsement, consistent polling advantages of 18 to 27 points over rivals in recent surveys, and broad support across demographic groups including Chinese American voters. His record advancing housing legislation and LGBTQ rights at the state level, combined with fundraising edges and super PAC backing, has solidified trader consensus around his first-place finish. Saikat Chakrabarti and Connie Chan trail as the main challengers, each drawing progressive and local bases but lacking comparable institutional support. With the June 2 top-two primary less than three weeks away, a late surge in turnout among progressive voters or unexpected endorsements could narrow the gap, though current trends indicate limited room for such shifts before ballots close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$357,823
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 24, 2025, 3:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Senator Scott Wiener holds a commanding lead in the Democratic primary for California’s 11th Congressional District, reflecting strong party endorsement, consistent polling advantages of 18 to 27 points over rivals in recent surveys, and broad support across demographic groups including Chinese American voters. His record advancing housing legislation and LGBTQ rights at the state level, combined with fundraising edges and super PAC backing, has solidified trader consensus around his first-place finish. Saikat Chakrabarti and Connie Chan trail as the main challengers, each drawing progressive and local bases but lacking comparable institutional support. With the June 2 top-two primary less than three weeks away, a late surge in turnout among progressive voters or unexpected endorsements could narrow the gap, though current trends indicate limited room for such shifts before ballots close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$357,823
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 24, 2025, 3:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Scott Wiener» з 94%, далі «Saikat Chakrabarti» з 7%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?» згенерував $357.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 24, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?» — «Scott Wiener» з 94%. Наступний — «Saikat Chakrabarti» з 7%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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