Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity as president underpins the market's strong consensus around 180-199 posts for the August 7-14 window. Historical data from 2025 showed an average of roughly 18 posts per day, with frequent late-night surges exceeding 20-30 posts daily and occasional single-day totals above 100, often featuring policy announcements, reposts, and commentary on foreign affairs or domestic issues. The current eight-day span aligns closely with these norms absent major schedule disruptions. A sharp reduction in activity, such as during extended travel, health-related pauses, or shifts in focus away from the platform, remains the primary scenario that could alter the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật180-199 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$147,314 KL.
$147,314 KL.
Aug 14, 2026
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
Yes
200+
No
180-199 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$147,314 KL.
$147,314 KL.
Aug 14, 2026
<20
$4,361 KL.
No
20-39
$5,641 KL.
No
40-59
$5,203 KL.
No
60-79
$5,673 KL.
No
80-99
$4,149 KL.
No
100-119
$5,367 KL.
No
120-139
$7,406 KL.
No
140-159
$3,886 KL.
No
160-179
$37,288 KL.
No
180-199
$58,688 KL.
Yes
200+
$9,654 KL.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity as president underpins the market's strong consensus around 180-199 posts for the August 7-14 window. Historical data from 2025 showed an average of roughly 18 posts per day, with frequent late-night surges exceeding 20-30 posts daily and occasional single-day totals above 100, often featuring policy announcements, reposts, and commentary on foreign affairs or domestic issues. The current eight-day span aligns closely with these norms absent major schedule disruptions. A sharp reduction in activity, such as during extended travel, health-related pauses, or shifts in focus away from the platform, remains the primary scenario that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Khối lượng
$147,314Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity as president underpins the market's strong consensus around 180-199 posts for the August 7-14 window. Historical data from 2025 showed an average of roughly 18 posts per day, with frequent late-night surges exceeding 20-30 posts daily and occasional single-day totals above 100, often featuring policy announcements, reposts, and commentary on foreign affairs or domestic issues. The current eight-day span aligns closely with these norms absent major schedule disruptions. A sharp reduction in activity, such as during extended travel, health-related pauses, or shifts in focus away from the platform, remains the primary scenario that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$147,314Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity as president underpins the market's strong consensus around 180-199 posts for the August 7-14 window. Historical data from 2025 showed an average of roughly 18 posts per day, with frequent late-night surges exceeding 20-30 posts daily and occasional single-day totals above 100, often featuring policy announcements, reposts, and commentary on foreign affairs or domestic issues. The current eight-day span aligns closely with these norms absent major schedule disruptions. A sharp reduction in activity, such as during extended travel, health-related pauses, or shifts in focus away from the platform, remains the primary scenario that could alter the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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