Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current vice-governor assuming the state executive in 2026, holds a narrow lead in trader pricing at 52% for the October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff, driven by incumbency advantages, cross-party alliances, and recent surveys showing him ahead or tied with Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos). Pazolini, mayor of Vitória, trails at 41.5% amid strong name recognition but faces a fragmented field that includes lower-polling names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Euclério Sampaio, and Sergio Vidigal. Polling from May and June 2026 reflects tight first-round intentions near 35% each for the top two, with undecided voters and alliance shifts remaining key variables. The close market odds mirror this competitive dynamic, where turnout among regional blocs or late consolidation could still alter outcomes before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtEspírito Santo Governor Election Winner
Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner
Lorenzo Pazolini 41%
Ricardo Ferraço 38%
Arnaldinho Borgo 13.0%
Sergio Vidigal 12.6%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 5, 2026
Lorenzo Pazolini
41%
Ricardo Ferraço
38%
Arnaldinho Borgo
13%
Sergio Vidigal
13%
Euclério Sampaio
4%
Lorenzo Pazolini 41%
Ricardo Ferraço 38%
Arnaldinho Borgo 13.0%
Sergio Vidigal 12.6%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 5, 2026
Lorenzo Pazolini
$1,949 KL.
41%
Ricardo Ferraço
$205 KL.
38%
Arnaldinho Borgo
$284 KL.
13%
Sergio Vidigal
$166 KL.
13%
Euclério Sampaio
$248 KL.
4%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current vice-governor assuming the state executive in 2026, holds a narrow lead in trader pricing at 52% for the October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff, driven by incumbency advantages, cross-party alliances, and recent surveys showing him ahead or tied with Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos). Pazolini, mayor of Vitória, trails at 41.5% amid strong name recognition but faces a fragmented field that includes lower-polling names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Euclério Sampaio, and Sergio Vidigal. Polling from May and June 2026 reflects tight first-round intentions near 35% each for the top two, with undecided voters and alliance shifts remaining key variables. The close market odds mirror this competitive dynamic, where turnout among regional blocs or late consolidation could still alter outcomes before election day.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,852Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current vice-governor assuming the state executive in 2026, holds a narrow lead in trader pricing at 52% for the October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff, driven by incumbency advantages, cross-party alliances, and recent surveys showing him ahead or tied with Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos). Pazolini, mayor of Vitória, trails at 41.5% amid strong name recognition but faces a fragmented field that includes lower-polling names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Euclério Sampaio, and Sergio Vidigal. Polling from May and June 2026 reflects tight first-round intentions near 35% each for the top two, with undecided voters and alliance shifts remaining key variables. The close market odds mirror this competitive dynamic, where turnout among regional blocs or late consolidation could still alter outcomes before election day.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$2,852Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current vice-governor assuming the state executive in 2026, holds a narrow lead in trader pricing at 52% for the October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff, driven by incumbency advantages, cross-party alliances, and recent surveys showing him ahead or tied with Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos). Pazolini, mayor of Vitória, trails at 41.5% amid strong name recognition but faces a fragmented field that includes lower-polling names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Euclério Sampaio, and Sergio Vidigal. Polling from May and June 2026 reflects tight first-round intentions near 35% each for the top two, with undecided voters and alliance shifts remaining key variables. The close market odds mirror this competitive dynamic, where turnout among regional blocs or late consolidation could still alter outcomes before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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