Guinea-Bissau’s upcoming December 6, 2026 presidential and legislative elections follow a November 2025 coup that ousted incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló after disputed results in which both he and independent candidate Fernando Dias da Costa claimed victory. A transitional military government under General Horta Inta-A Na Man, barred from contesting, now oversees the process amid an August 30 constitutional referendum that could shift the country toward a stronger presidential system. The fragmented field, with PAIGC endorsing Dias da Costa and numerous other entrants, has produced a closely matched top tier in trader pricing. Persistent political tensions, opposition detentions, ECOWAS mediation efforts, and uncertainty over inclusive transitional arrangements continue to sustain volatility without clear separation among frontrunners.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtGuinea-Bissau Presidential Election
Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election
Umaro Sissoco Embaló 25.1%
Siga Batista 6.6%
Fernando Dias da Costa 3.1%
José Mário Vaz 2.7%
$336,982 KL.
$336,982 KL.
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
15%
Siga Batista
7%
Fernando Dias da Costa
16%
José Mário Vaz
3%
Baciro Djá
3%
João de Deus Mendes
3%
Honório Augusto Lopes
3%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
2%
Gabriel Fernando Indi
2%
João Bernardo Vieira
2%
Mário da Silva Júnior
2%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa
1%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló 25.1%
Siga Batista 6.6%
Fernando Dias da Costa 3.1%
José Mário Vaz 2.7%
$336,982 KL.
$336,982 KL.
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
15%
Siga Batista
7%
Fernando Dias da Costa
16%
José Mário Vaz
3%
Baciro Djá
3%
João de Deus Mendes
3%
Honório Augusto Lopes
3%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
2%
Gabriel Fernando Indi
2%
João Bernardo Vieira
2%
Mário da Silva Júnior
2%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Thị trường mở: Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Guinea-Bissau’s upcoming December 6, 2026 presidential and legislative elections follow a November 2025 coup that ousted incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló after disputed results in which both he and independent candidate Fernando Dias da Costa claimed victory. A transitional military government under General Horta Inta-A Na Man, barred from contesting, now oversees the process amid an August 30 constitutional referendum that could shift the country toward a stronger presidential system. The fragmented field, with PAIGC endorsing Dias da Costa and numerous other entrants, has produced a closely matched top tier in trader pricing. Persistent political tensions, opposition detentions, ECOWAS mediation efforts, and uncertainty over inclusive transitional arrangements continue to sustain volatility without clear separation among frontrunners.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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