The closely matched trader odds reflect Guinea-Bissau’s fragmented multi-party system and ongoing military-led transition ahead of the December 6, 2026 legislative election. A November 2025 coup annulled prior results, installed a transitional authority, and led to a new constitution approved in an August 2026 referendum that cut assembly seats to 65 and reduced constituencies to 12 while expanding presidential powers. Major opposition groups boycotted the referendum, citing institutional concerns, which has heightened polarization and limited clarity on voter alignments. With no public polling permitted and several mid-sized parties competing, no single contender has consolidated support, keeping implied probabilities tight. Upcoming campaign developments, candidate alliances, or international monitoring signals could shift seat projections under the revised rules.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtGuinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
FREPASNA 22.6%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 15.4%
PT 5.9%
FLING 4.5%
$159,112 KL.
$159,112 KL.
Nov 22, 2025
FREPASNA
16%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
15%
PT
6%
FLING
5%
PS
3%
MUNDO-GB
3%
FREPASNA 22.6%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 15.4%
PT 5.9%
FLING 4.5%
$159,112 KL.
$159,112 KL.
Nov 22, 2025
FREPASNA
$26,748 KL.
16%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
$48,541 KL.
15%
PT
$21,871 KL.
6%
FLING
$12,947 KL.
5%
PS
$26,121 KL.
3%
MUNDO-GB
$22,884 KL.
3%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The closely matched trader odds reflect Guinea-Bissau’s fragmented multi-party system and ongoing military-led transition ahead of the December 6, 2026 legislative election. A November 2025 coup annulled prior results, installed a transitional authority, and led to a new constitution approved in an August 2026 referendum that cut assembly seats to 65 and reduced constituencies to 12 while expanding presidential powers. Major opposition groups boycotted the referendum, citing institutional concerns, which has heightened polarization and limited clarity on voter alignments. With no public polling permitted and several mid-sized parties competing, no single contender has consolidated support, keeping implied probabilities tight. Upcoming campaign developments, candidate alliances, or international monitoring signals could shift seat projections under the revised rules.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Thị trường mở: Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
Khối lượng
$159,112Ngày kết thúc
Nov 23, 2025Thị trường mở
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The closely matched trader odds reflect Guinea-Bissau’s fragmented multi-party system and ongoing military-led transition ahead of the December 6, 2026 legislative election. A November 2025 coup annulled prior results, installed a transitional authority, and led to a new constitution approved in an August 2026 referendum that cut assembly seats to 65 and reduced constituencies to 12 while expanding presidential powers. Major opposition groups boycotted the referendum, citing institutional concerns, which has heightened polarization and limited clarity on voter alignments. With no public polling permitted and several mid-sized parties competing, no single contender has consolidated support, keeping implied probabilities tight. Upcoming campaign developments, candidate alliances, or international monitoring signals could shift seat projections under the revised rules.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Khối lượng
$159,112Ngày kết thúc
Nov 23, 2025Thị trường mở
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...The closely matched trader odds reflect Guinea-Bissau’s fragmented multi-party system and ongoing military-led transition ahead of the December 6, 2026 legislative election. A November 2025 coup annulled prior results, installed a transitional authority, and led to a new constitution approved in an August 2026 referendum that cut assembly seats to 65 and reduced constituencies to 12 while expanding presidential powers. Major opposition groups boycotted the referendum, citing institutional concerns, which has heightened polarization and limited clarity on voter alignments. With no public polling permitted and several mid-sized parties competing, no single contender has consolidated support, keeping implied probabilities tight. Upcoming campaign developments, candidate alliances, or international monitoring signals could shift seat projections under the revised rules.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp