Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads trader consensus for Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 National People’s Assembly election due to its established coalition structure and perceived alignment with transitional military authorities following the November 2025 coup that annulled prior results. The ruling junta’s January 2026 decree setting the vote date and declaring conditions suitable for free elections has reinforced expectations that pro-stability coalitions like this one hold organizational advantages in a low-information environment where opinion polls are prohibited. Trailing parties such as PT, FLING, PS, FREPASNA, and MUNDO-GB reflect longstanding fragmentation among opposition groups, including the prior exclusion of PAIGC-linked figures and the absence of clear frontrunners in post-coup preparations. Scheduled polling in six months leaves room for shifts from any renewed diplomatic engagement or internal military developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtGuinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 58.1%
FLING 11.9%
PS 5.9%
FREPASNA 3.9%
$140,664 KL.
$140,664 KL.
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
35%
FLING
6%
PS
6%
FREPASNA
4%
MUNDO-GB
3%
PT
10%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 58.1%
FLING 11.9%
PS 5.9%
FREPASNA 3.9%
$140,664 KL.
$140,664 KL.
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
35%
FLING
6%
PS
6%
FREPASNA
4%
MUNDO-GB
3%
PT
10%
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Thị trường mở: Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads trader consensus for Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 National People’s Assembly election due to its established coalition structure and perceived alignment with transitional military authorities following the November 2025 coup that annulled prior results. The ruling junta’s January 2026 decree setting the vote date and declaring conditions suitable for free elections has reinforced expectations that pro-stability coalitions like this one hold organizational advantages in a low-information environment where opinion polls are prohibited. Trailing parties such as PT, FLING, PS, FREPASNA, and MUNDO-GB reflect longstanding fragmentation among opposition groups, including the prior exclusion of PAIGC-linked figures and the absence of clear frontrunners in post-coup preparations. Scheduled polling in six months leaves room for shifts from any renewed diplomatic engagement or internal military developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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