Official forecasts from China's meteorological authorities indicate a daily maximum of 19°C for Beijing on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and minimal afternoon warming. This consensus across regional models leaves little room for deviation, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability for that exact high. Historical May averages in the capital hover several degrees higher, underscoring how today's cooler pattern stands out. Traders have priced in the outcome with high confidence because resolution depends on verified station readings rather than broader trends. Only an unforecasted late-day surge or instrument calibration shift—both rare at this stage—could alter the recorded peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$141,865 KL.
$141,865 KL.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$141,865 KL.
$141,865 KL.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
$533 KL.
<1%
14°C
$30,787 KL.
<1%
15°C
$1,780 KL.
<1%
16°C
$6,602 KL.
<1%
17°C
$8,803 KL.
<1%
18°C
$14,415 KL.
<1%
19°C
$35,412 KL.
100%
20°C
$17,491 KL.
<1%
21°C
$6,310 KL.
<1%
22°C
$8,753 KL.
<1%
23°C or higher
$11,000 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from China's meteorological authorities indicate a daily maximum of 19°C for Beijing on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and minimal afternoon warming. This consensus across regional models leaves little room for deviation, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability for that exact high. Historical May averages in the capital hover several degrees higher, underscoring how today's cooler pattern stands out. Traders have priced in the outcome with high confidence because resolution depends on verified station readings rather than broader trends. Only an unforecasted late-day surge or instrument calibration shift—both rare at this stage—could alter the recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$141,865Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from China's meteorological authorities indicate a daily maximum of 19°C for Beijing on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and minimal afternoon warming. This consensus across regional models leaves little room for deviation, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability for that exact high. Historical May averages in the capital hover several degrees higher, underscoring how today's cooler pattern stands out. Traders have priced in the outcome with high confidence because resolution depends on verified station readings rather than broader trends. Only an unforecasted late-day surge or instrument calibration shift—both rare at this stage—could alter the recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$141,865Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAOfficial forecasts from China's meteorological authorities indicate a daily maximum of 19°C for Beijing on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and minimal afternoon warming. This consensus across regional models leaves little room for deviation, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability for that exact high. Historical May averages in the capital hover several degrees higher, underscoring how today's cooler pattern stands out. Traders have priced in the outcome with high confidence because resolution depends on verified station readings rather than broader trends. Only an unforecasted late-day surge or instrument calibration shift—both rare at this stage—could alter the recorded peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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