Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-unanimous confidence in a high temperature of 80°F or higher in Dallas on May 14, driven by National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts projecting peaks of 88–93°F under a dominant upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and south-southeasterly winds transporting warm Gulf moisture. Morning observations already exceed 70°F at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport, with ample daytime heating expected absent cloud cover. This aligns with May climatology, where daily highs average 87°F and rarely dip below 80°F. Realistic challenges include isolated thunderstorms disrupting insolation, though current guidance indicates low probability; hourly updates from NOAA stations will confirm through evening.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Dallas on May 14?
80°F or higher 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$60,438 KL.
$60,438 KL.
61°F or below
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
Yes
80°F or higher 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$60,438 KL.
$60,438 KL.
61°F or below
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-unanimous confidence in a high temperature of 80°F or higher in Dallas on May 14, driven by National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts projecting peaks of 88–93°F under a dominant upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and south-southeasterly winds transporting warm Gulf moisture. Morning observations already exceed 70°F at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport, with ample daytime heating expected absent cloud cover. This aligns with May climatology, where daily highs average 87°F and rarely dip below 80°F. Realistic challenges include isolated thunderstorms disrupting insolation, though current guidance indicates low probability; hourly updates from NOAA stations will confirm through evening.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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