Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 30°C or higher in Guangzhou today, backed by unanimous forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, projecting peaks of 31–33°C under a strengthening subtropical ridge, low humidity, and abundant solar heating. Morning observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport already surpass 28°C with minimal cloud interference, consistent with May climatology where average highs hit 30°C amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen marine inflow or convective cloud burst capping daytime heating—remain improbable per current soundings, with final hourly data expected by evening local time to confirm resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 15?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 15?
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$29,603 KL.
$29,603 KL.
May 15, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
Yes
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$29,603 KL.
$29,603 KL.
May 15, 2026
20°C or below
$486 KL.
No
21°C
$1,471 KL.
No
22°C
$1,277 KL.
No
23°C
$1,278 KL.
No
24°C
$430 KL.
No
25°C
$1,673 KL.
No
26°C
$1,623 KL.
No
27°C
$3,106 KL.
No
28°C
$5,053 KL.
No
29°C
$3,422 KL.
No
30°C or higher
$9,783 KL.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 30°C or higher in Guangzhou today, backed by unanimous forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, projecting peaks of 31–33°C under a strengthening subtropical ridge, low humidity, and abundant solar heating. Morning observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport already surpass 28°C with minimal cloud interference, consistent with May climatology where average highs hit 30°C amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen marine inflow or convective cloud burst capping daytime heating—remain improbable per current soundings, with final hourly data expected by evening local time to confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$29,603Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 30°C or higher in Guangzhou today, backed by unanimous forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, projecting peaks of 31–33°C under a strengthening subtropical ridge, low humidity, and abundant solar heating. Morning observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport already surpass 28°C with minimal cloud interference, consistent with May climatology where average highs hit 30°C amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen marine inflow or convective cloud burst capping daytime heating—remain improbable per current soundings, with final hourly data expected by evening local time to confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$29,603Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 30°C or higher in Guangzhou today, backed by unanimous forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, projecting peaks of 31–33°C under a strengthening subtropical ridge, low humidity, and abundant solar heating. Morning observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport already surpass 28°C with minimal cloud interference, consistent with May climatology where average highs hit 30°C amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen marine inflow or convective cloud burst capping daytime heating—remain improbable per current soundings, with final hourly data expected by evening local time to confirm resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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