Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daily maximum of 22°C for Istanbul on May 17, aligning closely with the city’s mid-May climatological average of 20–22°C recorded by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Moderate southeasterly flow and limited moisture advection have suppressed stronger warming, producing model consensus around this threshold with minimal spread in afternoon peak readings. Traders have priced this outcome at 99.9% implied probability, reflecting high in the locked-in guidance ahead of final observational verification. A late surge in northerly sea breeze from the Marmara or unexpected cloud cover could still trim the high by a degree, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 17?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 17?
22°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
$60,009 KL.
$60,009 KL.
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
$60,009 KL.
$60,009 KL.
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
$552 KL.
<1%
15°C
$2,271 KL.
<1%
16°C
$13,506 KL.
<1%
17°C
$2,184 KL.
<1%
18°C
$5,050 KL.
<1%
19°C
$4,667 KL.
<1%
20°C
$3,687 KL.
<1%
21°C
$2,475 KL.
<1%
22°C
$7,872 KL.
100%
23°C
$6,448 KL.
<1%
24°C or higher
$11,305 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daily maximum of 22°C for Istanbul on May 17, aligning closely with the city’s mid-May climatological average of 20–22°C recorded by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Moderate southeasterly flow and limited moisture advection have suppressed stronger warming, producing model consensus around this threshold with minimal spread in afternoon peak readings. Traders have priced this outcome at 99.9% implied probability, reflecting high in the locked-in guidance ahead of final observational verification. A late surge in northerly sea breeze from the Marmara or unexpected cloud cover could still trim the high by a degree, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$60,009Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daily maximum of 22°C for Istanbul on May 17, aligning closely with the city’s mid-May climatological average of 20–22°C recorded by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Moderate southeasterly flow and limited moisture advection have suppressed stronger warming, producing model consensus around this threshold with minimal spread in afternoon peak readings. Traders have priced this outcome at 99.9% implied probability, reflecting high in the locked-in guidance ahead of final observational verification. A late surge in northerly sea breeze from the Marmara or unexpected cloud cover could still trim the high by a degree, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$60,009Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daily maximum of 22°C for Istanbul on May 17, aligning closely with the city’s mid-May climatological average of 20–22°C recorded by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Moderate southeasterly flow and limited moisture advection have suppressed stronger warming, producing model consensus around this threshold with minimal spread in afternoon peak readings. Traders have priced this outcome at 99.9% implied probability, reflecting high in the locked-in guidance ahead of final observational verification. A late surge in northerly sea breeze from the Marmara or unexpected cloud cover could still trim the high by a degree, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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