Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 35°C for Karachi on May 14, 2026, driving the market's 90.5% implied probability on this outcome amid hot, humid conditions tempered by strong westerly winds of 30-50 km/h and hazy skies. This aligns with recent cooling trends following an early May heatwave that peaked at 44°C, as sea breezes and dust have moderated daytime highs toward seasonal norms of 35-36°C. Model consensus from PMD and international sources like weather.com supports this positioning, with current observations tracking below 36°C so far. Realistic challenges include unexpected wind lulls during peak afternoon heating, potentially pushing to 36°C or higher, though sustained gusts favor the 35°C cap; final PMD observatory data at day's end will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Karachi on May 14?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 14?
$22,384 KL.
$22,384 KL.
35°C
95%
36°C or higher
6%
$22,384 KL.
$22,384 KL.
35°C
95%
36°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 35°C for Karachi on May 14, 2026, driving the market's 90.5% implied probability on this outcome amid hot, humid conditions tempered by strong westerly winds of 30-50 km/h and hazy skies. This aligns with recent cooling trends following an early May heatwave that peaked at 44°C, as sea breezes and dust have moderated daytime highs toward seasonal norms of 35-36°C. Model consensus from PMD and international sources like weather.com supports this positioning, with current observations tracking below 36°C so far. Realistic challenges include unexpected wind lulls during peak afternoon heating, potentially pushing to 36°C or higher, though sustained gusts favor the 35°C cap; final PMD observatory data at day's end will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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