Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts indicate hot and humid conditions in Karachi today, with maximum temperatures holding steady at 35-37°C, driving trader consensus toward a 58% implied probability for exactly 35°C as the highest reading. Morning observations recorded around 30°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate west-southwesterly winds, consistent with coastal sea breeze effects that typically cap peaks during pre-monsoon May, when historical averages hover near 35°C. Low odds on 36°C or higher (8.5%) reflect model consensus avoiding extreme heat due to elevated humidity suppressing dry-bulb highs, while 30°C (0.1%) is negligible given climatological baselines. Real-time PMD station data this afternoon could shift probabilities as the resolution window closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Karachi on May 15?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 15?
35°C 93%
36°C or higher 7%
30°C <1%
$27,237 KL.
$27,237 KL.
30°C
<1%
35°C
93%
36°C or higher
7%
35°C 93%
36°C or higher 7%
30°C <1%
$27,237 KL.
$27,237 KL.
30°C
<1%
35°C
93%
36°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Cửa sổ tranh chấp
Cuối cùng
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Cửa sổ tranh chấp
Cuối cùng
Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts indicate hot and humid conditions in Karachi today, with maximum temperatures holding steady at 35-37°C, driving trader consensus toward a 58% implied probability for exactly 35°C as the highest reading. Morning observations recorded around 30°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate west-southwesterly winds, consistent with coastal sea breeze effects that typically cap peaks during pre-monsoon May, when historical averages hover near 35°C. Low odds on 36°C or higher (8.5%) reflect model consensus avoiding extreme heat due to elevated humidity suppressing dry-bulb highs, while 30°C (0.1%) is negligible given climatological baselines. Real-time PMD station data this afternoon could shift probabilities as the resolution window closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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