Traders' near-unanimous 99.9% implied probability for a high of 19°C or higher in Mexico City stems from the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting 26-28°C today under clear skies and prevailing dry-season high pressure. At 2,240 meters elevation, May climatology typically delivers highs of 25-27°C, with ensemble weather models showing tight consensus and low variance based on recent upper-air soundings and satellite imagery. Morning observations from official stations like Benito Juárez International Airport confirm steady warming from lows near 14°C. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen thunderstorm or cold-air intrusion—remain improbable without shifts in steering winds, with SMN updates due this afternoon providing final clarity before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 15?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 15?
19°C or higher 99.9%
16°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
MỚI
$18,781 KL.
MỚI
$18,781 KL.
May 15, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
100%
19°C or higher 99.9%
16°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
MỚI
$18,781 KL.
MỚI
$18,781 KL.
May 15, 2026
9°C or below
$2,164 KL.
<1%
10°C
$1,001 KL.
<1%
11°C
$1,154 KL.
<1%
12°C
$2,281 KL.
<1%
13°C
$1,330 KL.
<1%
14°C
$1,215 KL.
<1%
15°C
$874 KL.
<1%
16°C
$864 KL.
<1%
17°C
$1,677 KL.
<1%
18°C
$2,473 KL.
<1%
19°C or higher
$3,747 KL.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders' near-unanimous 99.9% implied probability for a high of 19°C or higher in Mexico City stems from the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting 26-28°C today under clear skies and prevailing dry-season high pressure. At 2,240 meters elevation, May climatology typically delivers highs of 25-27°C, with ensemble weather models showing tight consensus and low variance based on recent upper-air soundings and satellite imagery. Morning observations from official stations like Benito Juárez International Airport confirm steady warming from lows near 14°C. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen thunderstorm or cold-air intrusion—remain improbable without shifts in steering winds, with SMN updates due this afternoon providing final clarity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Khối lượng
$18,781Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders' near-unanimous 99.9% implied probability for a high of 19°C or higher in Mexico City stems from the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting 26-28°C today under clear skies and prevailing dry-season high pressure. At 2,240 meters elevation, May climatology typically delivers highs of 25-27°C, with ensemble weather models showing tight consensus and low variance based on recent upper-air soundings and satellite imagery. Morning observations from official stations like Benito Juárez International Airport confirm steady warming from lows near 14°C. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen thunderstorm or cold-air intrusion—remain improbable without shifts in steering winds, with SMN updates due this afternoon providing final clarity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$18,781Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' near-unanimous 99.9% implied probability for a high of 19°C or higher in Mexico City stems from the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting 26-28°C today under clear skies and prevailing dry-season high pressure. At 2,240 meters elevation, May climatology typically delivers highs of 25-27°C, with ensemble weather models showing tight consensus and low variance based on recent upper-air soundings and satellite imagery. Morning observations from official stations like Benito Juárez International Airport confirm steady warming from lows near 14°C. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen thunderstorm or cold-air intrusion—remain improbable without shifts in steering winds, with SMN updates due this afternoon providing final clarity before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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