Official forecasts from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting numerical models project a daily maximum of 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 13 under clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions that limit marine cooling and cloud cover. This aligns closely with the market’s dominant 82% implied probability for 33°C, reflecting trader consensus on modest positive temperature anomalies above the late-summer climatological average near 31°C. Overnight lows around 27–28°C at nearby stations support efficient daytime heating, while minor probabilities assigned to 32°C or 34°C capture typical ensemble uncertainty ranges of roughly ±1°C. Resolution will hinge on official peak-afternoon station readings, with any late model adjustments potentially shifting sentiment ahead of final measurement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 13?
33°C 83%
32°C 11%
34°C 7%
35°C <1%
$23,407 KL.
$23,407 KL.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
11%
33°C
83%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 83%
32°C 11%
34°C 7%
35°C <1%
$23,407 KL.
$23,407 KL.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
11%
33°C
83%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting numerical models project a daily maximum of 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 13 under clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions that limit marine cooling and cloud cover. This aligns closely with the market’s dominant 82% implied probability for 33°C, reflecting trader consensus on modest positive temperature anomalies above the late-summer climatological average near 31°C. Overnight lows around 27–28°C at nearby stations support efficient daytime heating, while minor probabilities assigned to 32°C or 34°C capture typical ensemble uncertainty ranges of roughly ±1°C. Resolution will hinge on official peak-afternoon station readings, with any late model adjustments potentially shifting sentiment ahead of final measurement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp