Despite ongoing regional tensions following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and subsequent U.S.-Israeli military operations, Iranian security institutions under Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps leadership have consolidated control without signs of internal military fracture. Recent diplomatic proposals in May 2026 aimed at ending hostilities on Tehran's terms, combined with preparations by the Supreme National Security Council to manage economic pressures and potential protests, underscore institutional continuity. Traders price the slim chance of a coup attempt by late June around external factors like stalled negotiations or renewed unrest rather than verified plots, reflecting the regime's historical resilience to leadership transitions and external challenges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCó
$1,128,325 KL.
$1,128,325 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
Có
$1,128,325 KL.
$1,128,325 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Despite ongoing regional tensions following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and subsequent U.S.-Israeli military operations, Iranian security institutions under Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps leadership have consolidated control without signs of internal military fracture. Recent diplomatic proposals in May 2026 aimed at ending hostilities on Tehran's terms, combined with preparations by the Supreme National Security Council to manage economic pressures and potential protests, underscore institutional continuity. Traders price the slim chance of a coup attempt by late June around external factors like stalled negotiations or renewed unrest rather than verified plots, reflecting the regime's historical resilience to leadership transitions and external challenges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,128,325Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Despite ongoing regional tensions following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and subsequent U.S.-Israeli military operations, Iranian security institutions under Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps leadership have consolidated control without signs of internal military fracture. Recent diplomatic proposals in May 2026 aimed at ending hostilities on Tehran's terms, combined with preparations by the Supreme National Security Council to manage economic pressures and potential protests, underscore institutional continuity. Traders price the slim chance of a coup attempt by late June around external factors like stalled negotiations or renewed unrest rather than verified plots, reflecting the regime's historical resilience to leadership transitions and external challenges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$1,128,325Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite ongoing regional tensions following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and subsequent U.S.-Israeli military operations, Iranian security institutions under Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps leadership have consolidated control without signs of internal military fracture. Recent diplomatic proposals in May 2026 aimed at ending hostilities on Tehran's terms, combined with preparations by the Supreme National Security Council to manage economic pressures and potential protests, underscore institutional continuity. Traders price the slim chance of a coup attempt by late June around external factors like stalled negotiations or renewed unrest rather than verified plots, reflecting the regime's historical resilience to leadership transitions and external challenges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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