Recent Cleveland Fed nowcasts project June 2026 headline CPI rising just 0.02% month-over-month, underpinning the 92% market-implied odds for a print at or below 0.1%. This follows May’s 0.5% gain that pushed the year-over-year rate to 4.2%, its highest since April 2023, largely from energy prices elevated by geopolitical supply shocks. Traders appear to price in a rapid unwinding of those one-off energy effects alongside contained core pressures at 0.23% in the latest nowcast. Key upcoming catalysts include any June retail sales or producer-price data that could alter the trajectory ahead of the July 14 release. A sharper rebound in gasoline or shelter costs could still push the outcome above the threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật≤0.1% 95.7%
0.7% 2.1%
0.2% 2.0%
0.4% 2.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 15, 2026
≤0.1%
96%
0.2%
2%
0.3%
2%
0.4%
2%
0.5%
1%
0.6%
2%
0.7%
2%
0.8%
1%
≥0.9%
1%
≤0.1% 95.7%
0.7% 2.1%
0.2% 2.0%
0.4% 2.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 15, 2026
≤0.1%
$3,600 KL.
96%
0.2%
$770 KL.
2%
0.3%
$515 KL.
2%
0.4%
$400 KL.
2%
0.5%
$400 KL.
1%
0.6%
$479 KL.
2%
0.7%
$463 KL.
2%
0.8%
$468 KL.
1%
≥0.9%
$948 KL.
1%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent Cleveland Fed nowcasts project June 2026 headline CPI rising just 0.02% month-over-month, underpinning the 92% market-implied odds for a print at or below 0.1%. This follows May’s 0.5% gain that pushed the year-over-year rate to 4.2%, its highest since April 2023, largely from energy prices elevated by geopolitical supply shocks. Traders appear to price in a rapid unwinding of those one-off energy effects alongside contained core pressures at 0.23% in the latest nowcast. Key upcoming catalysts include any June retail sales or producer-price data that could alter the trajectory ahead of the July 14 release. A sharper rebound in gasoline or shelter costs could still push the outcome above the threshold.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Thị trường mở: Jun 10, 2026, 11:39 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,042Ngày kết thúc
Jul 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 10, 2026, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent Cleveland Fed nowcasts project June 2026 headline CPI rising just 0.02% month-over-month, underpinning the 92% market-implied odds for a print at or below 0.1%. This follows May’s 0.5% gain that pushed the year-over-year rate to 4.2%, its highest since April 2023, largely from energy prices elevated by geopolitical supply shocks. Traders appear to price in a rapid unwinding of those one-off energy effects alongside contained core pressures at 0.23% in the latest nowcast. Key upcoming catalysts include any June retail sales or producer-price data that could alter the trajectory ahead of the July 14 release. A sharper rebound in gasoline or shelter costs could still push the outcome above the threshold.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Khối lượng
$8,042Ngày kết thúc
Jul 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 10, 2026, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Cleveland Fed nowcasts project June 2026 headline CPI rising just 0.02% month-over-month, underpinning the 92% market-implied odds for a print at or below 0.1%. This follows May’s 0.5% gain that pushed the year-over-year rate to 4.2%, its highest since April 2023, largely from energy prices elevated by geopolitical supply shocks. Traders appear to price in a rapid unwinding of those one-off energy effects alongside contained core pressures at 0.23% in the latest nowcast. Key upcoming catalysts include any June retail sales or producer-price data that could alter the trajectory ahead of the July 14 release. A sharper rebound in gasoline or shelter costs could still push the outcome above the threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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