SpaceX's confidential IPO filing and detailed preparations for a mid-2026 listing, including a June roadshow targeting up to $75 billion in proceeds, anchor trader consensus around its leading position. The company has integrated xAI's artificial intelligence capabilities following their February merger, positioning the offering around Starlink's satellite network, orbital data centers, and advanced semiconductor ambitions that could drive a $2 trillion-plus valuation. This timeline and scale contrast with later or less certain plans from rivals like Anthropic and OpenAI, reinforcing market-implied odds. Delays in regulatory approval or a sharp revision in target valuation remain realistic scenarios that could open room for other large tech debuts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIPO lớn nhất theo vốn hóa thị trường vào năm 2026?
SpaceX 91%
Anthropic 6.3%
OpenAI 2.9%
Kraken <1%
$1,880,138 KL.
$1,880,138 KL.

SpaceX
91%

Anthropic
6%

OpenAI
3%

Kraken
1%

Waymo
<1%

Discord
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Stripe
<1%

SHEIN
<1%

Revolut
<1%

Perplexity AI
<1%

Databricks
<1%
SpaceX 91%
Anthropic 6.3%
OpenAI 2.9%
Kraken <1%
$1,880,138 KL.
$1,880,138 KL.

SpaceX
91%

Anthropic
6%

OpenAI
3%

Kraken
1%

Waymo
<1%

Discord
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Stripe
<1%

SHEIN
<1%

Revolut
<1%

Perplexity AI
<1%

Databricks
<1%
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential IPO filing and detailed preparations for a mid-2026 listing, including a June roadshow targeting up to $75 billion in proceeds, anchor trader consensus around its leading position. The company has integrated xAI's artificial intelligence capabilities following their February merger, positioning the offering around Starlink's satellite network, orbital data centers, and advanced semiconductor ambitions that could drive a $2 trillion-plus valuation. This timeline and scale contrast with later or less certain plans from rivals like Anthropic and OpenAI, reinforcing market-implied odds. Delays in regulatory approval or a sharp revision in target valuation remain realistic scenarios that could open room for other large tech debuts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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