Current forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–23°C on September 3 under persistent control by the subtropical high, producing mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. Clear nocturnal conditions favor radiative cooling that could push the low toward the lower end of the range, while modest humidity and urban heat effects support readings closer to 22–24°C. Model consensus shows little day-to-day shift in the past 48 hours, though small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could separate outcomes around 21–23°C from the more extreme bins. Traders appear to weigh these subtle variables alongside historical early-September baselines near 21°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 3?
27°C or higher 79%
17°C or below 77%
22°C 35%
21°C 27%
17°C or below
77%
18°C
3%
19°C
24%
20°C
24%
21°C
27%
22°C
35%
23°C
27%
24°C
23%
25°C
25%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
79%
27°C or higher 79%
17°C or below 77%
22°C 35%
21°C 27%
17°C or below
77%
18°C
3%
19°C
24%
20°C
24%
21°C
27%
22°C
35%
23°C
27%
24°C
23%
25°C
25%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
79%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–23°C on September 3 under persistent control by the subtropical high, producing mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. Clear nocturnal conditions favor radiative cooling that could push the low toward the lower end of the range, while modest humidity and urban heat effects support readings closer to 22–24°C. Model consensus shows little day-to-day shift in the past 48 hours, though small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could separate outcomes around 21–23°C from the more extreme bins. Traders appear to weigh these subtle variables alongside historical early-September baselines near 21°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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