Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate the overnight minimum temperature in Guangzhou on August 26 will reach 26°C, supported by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and thunderstorm activity limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological patterns for late August, when average lows hover near 25°C but recent conditions have trended warmer. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C reflects real-time data integration from surface observations and ensemble runs showing limited variability. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected clearing skies enhancing nocturnal cooling or steering patterns introducing slightly cooler maritime air, though model consensus currently assigns low probability to deviations below 25°C or above 27°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 26?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$4,907 KL.
$4,907 KL.
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$4,907 KL.
$4,907 KL.
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
$683 KL.
No
22°C
$300 KL.
No
23°C
$51 KL.
No
24°C
$167 KL.
No
25°C
$376 KL.
No
26°C
$1,734 KL.
Yes
27°C
$173 KL.
No
28°C
$176 KL.
No
29°C
$175 KL.
No
30°C
$110 KL.
No
31°C or higher
$963 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate the overnight minimum temperature in Guangzhou on August 26 will reach 26°C, supported by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and thunderstorm activity limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological patterns for late August, when average lows hover near 25°C but recent conditions have trended warmer. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C reflects real-time data integration from surface observations and ensemble runs showing limited variability. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected clearing skies enhancing nocturnal cooling or steering patterns introducing slightly cooler maritime air, though model consensus currently assigns low probability to deviations below 25°C or above 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,907Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate the overnight minimum temperature in Guangzhou on August 26 will reach 26°C, supported by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and thunderstorm activity limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological patterns for late August, when average lows hover near 25°C but recent conditions have trended warmer. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C reflects real-time data integration from surface observations and ensemble runs showing limited variability. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected clearing skies enhancing nocturnal cooling or steering patterns introducing slightly cooler maritime air, though model consensus currently assigns low probability to deviations below 25°C or above 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,907Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate the overnight minimum temperature in Guangzhou on August 26 will reach 26°C, supported by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and thunderstorm activity limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological patterns for late August, when average lows hover near 25°C but recent conditions have trended warmer. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C reflects real-time data integration from surface observations and ensemble runs showing limited variability. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected clearing skies enhancing nocturnal cooling or steering patterns introducing slightly cooler maritime air, though model consensus currently assigns low probability to deviations below 25°C or above 27°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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