Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature of 23°C for Istanbul on August 26, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation. This alignment with climatological norms for late August, where overnight lows typically range 22–23°C, underpins the market's strong 89.5% implied probability for 23°C. Minor model spread around 22°C accounts for the secondary 22.5% odds, while the day's observed temperatures remaining above 24°C into evening hours and stable high-pressure conditions reduce the likelihood of cooler readings. Updated official guidance and final overnight observations will confirm the exact minimum for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 26?
23°C 100.0%
21°C 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
17°C or below <1%
$3,491 KL.
$3,491 KL.
Aug 26, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
21°C 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
17°C or below <1%
$3,491 KL.
$3,491 KL.
Aug 26, 2026
17°C or below
$856 KL.
No
18°C
$113 KL.
No
19°C
$50 KL.
No
20°C
$35 KL.
No
21°C
$199 KL.
No
22°C
$240 KL.
No
23°C
$480 KL.
Yes
24°C
$78 KL.
No
25°C
$240 KL.
No
26°C
$900 KL.
No
27°C or higher
$300 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature of 23°C for Istanbul on August 26, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation. This alignment with climatological norms for late August, where overnight lows typically range 22–23°C, underpins the market's strong 89.5% implied probability for 23°C. Minor model spread around 22°C accounts for the secondary 22.5% odds, while the day's observed temperatures remaining above 24°C into evening hours and stable high-pressure conditions reduce the likelihood of cooler readings. Updated official guidance and final overnight observations will confirm the exact minimum for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,491Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature of 23°C for Istanbul on August 26, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation. This alignment with climatological norms for late August, where overnight lows typically range 22–23°C, underpins the market's strong 89.5% implied probability for 23°C. Minor model spread around 22°C accounts for the secondary 22.5% odds, while the day's observed temperatures remaining above 24°C into evening hours and stable high-pressure conditions reduce the likelihood of cooler readings. Updated official guidance and final overnight observations will confirm the exact minimum for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,491Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature of 23°C for Istanbul on August 26, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation. This alignment with climatological norms for late August, where overnight lows typically range 22–23°C, underpins the market's strong 89.5% implied probability for 23°C. Minor model spread around 22°C accounts for the secondary 22.5% odds, while the day's observed temperatures remaining above 24°C into evening hours and stable high-pressure conditions reduce the likelihood of cooler readings. Updated official guidance and final overnight observations will confirm the exact minimum for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp