Current forecast ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS models show tight convergence on an overnight low of 19°C for Shanghai on May 17, underpinning the market’s overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology under neutral spring conditions typically yields minima between 17°C and 21°C, influenced by maritime air from the East China Sea and variable cloud cover that moderates nocturnal radiative cooling. A persistent high-pressure ridge could nudge readings slightly higher, while a weak trough or enhanced sea-breeze flow might trim the low by one degree. Traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF updates for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns before official station data finalize resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
19°C 99.4%
20°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C <1%
$11,079 KL.
$11,079 KL.
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
99%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.4%
20°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C <1%
$11,079 KL.
$11,079 KL.
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
$776 KL.
<1%
15°C
$626 KL.
<1%
16°C
$563 KL.
<1%
17°C
$934 KL.
<1%
18°C
$901 KL.
1%
19°C
$2,045 KL.
99%
20°C
$2,433 KL.
1%
21°C
$913 KL.
<1%
22°C
$528 KL.
<1%
23°C
$583 KL.
<1%
24°C or higher
$778 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS models show tight convergence on an overnight low of 19°C for Shanghai on May 17, underpinning the market’s overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology under neutral spring conditions typically yields minima between 17°C and 21°C, influenced by maritime air from the East China Sea and variable cloud cover that moderates nocturnal radiative cooling. A persistent high-pressure ridge could nudge readings slightly higher, while a weak trough or enhanced sea-breeze flow might trim the low by one degree. Traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF updates for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns before official station data finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$11,079Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS models show tight convergence on an overnight low of 19°C for Shanghai on May 17, underpinning the market’s overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology under neutral spring conditions typically yields minima between 17°C and 21°C, influenced by maritime air from the East China Sea and variable cloud cover that moderates nocturnal radiative cooling. A persistent high-pressure ridge could nudge readings slightly higher, while a weak trough or enhanced sea-breeze flow might trim the low by one degree. Traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF updates for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns before official station data finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$11,079Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDCurrent forecast ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS models show tight convergence on an overnight low of 19°C for Shanghai on May 17, underpinning the market’s overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology under neutral spring conditions typically yields minima between 17°C and 21°C, influenced by maritime air from the East China Sea and variable cloud cover that moderates nocturnal radiative cooling. A persistent high-pressure ridge could nudge readings slightly higher, while a weak trough or enhanced sea-breeze flow might trim the low by one degree. Traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF updates for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns before official station data finalize resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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