Current ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s Global Forecast System shows tight convergence on an overnight minimum near 19 °C for Shanghai on May 17, establishing this outcome as the dominant driver of trader sentiment. Mid-May climatology places typical lows between 17 °C and 21 °C under neutral springtime conditions modulated by the East Asian monsoon’s maritime air and variable cloud cover. A weak trough or enhanced sea-breeze advection could nudge readings toward 18 °C, while a persistent high-pressure ridge favors 20 °C. With resolution hours away, traders are monitoring the final China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF model updates for any boundary-layer moisture or wind shifts that could alter the narrow 18–20 °C spread.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
19°C 52%
18°C 32%
20°C 13%
17°C 4.4%
MỚI
MỚI
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
32%
19°C
59%
20°C
24%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 52%
18°C 32%
20°C 13%
17°C 4.4%
MỚI
MỚI
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
$549 KL.
<1%
15°C
$397 KL.
1%
16°C
$95 KL.
1%
17°C
$133 KL.
4%
18°C
$78 KL.
32%
19°C
$151 KL.
59%
20°C
$103 KL.
24%
21°C
$250 KL.
4%
22°C
$101 KL.
1%
23°C
$302 KL.
<1%
24°C or higher
$710 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s Global Forecast System shows tight convergence on an overnight minimum near 19 °C for Shanghai on May 17, establishing this outcome as the dominant driver of trader sentiment. Mid-May climatology places typical lows between 17 °C and 21 °C under neutral springtime conditions modulated by the East Asian monsoon’s maritime air and variable cloud cover. A weak trough or enhanced sea-breeze advection could nudge readings toward 18 °C, while a persistent high-pressure ridge favors 20 °C. With resolution hours away, traders are monitoring the final China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF model updates for any boundary-layer moisture or wind shifts that could alter the narrow 18–20 °C spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,861Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s Global Forecast System shows tight convergence on an overnight minimum near 19 °C for Shanghai on May 17, establishing this outcome as the dominant driver of trader sentiment. Mid-May climatology places typical lows between 17 °C and 21 °C under neutral springtime conditions modulated by the East Asian monsoon’s maritime air and variable cloud cover. A weak trough or enhanced sea-breeze advection could nudge readings toward 18 °C, while a persistent high-pressure ridge favors 20 °C. With resolution hours away, traders are monitoring the final China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF model updates for any boundary-layer moisture or wind shifts that could alter the narrow 18–20 °C spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$2,861Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDCurrent ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s Global Forecast System shows tight convergence on an overnight minimum near 19 °C for Shanghai on May 17, establishing this outcome as the dominant driver of trader sentiment. Mid-May climatology places typical lows between 17 °C and 21 °C under neutral springtime conditions modulated by the East Asian monsoon’s maritime air and variable cloud cover. A weak trough or enhanced sea-breeze advection could nudge readings toward 18 °C, while a persistent high-pressure ridge favors 20 °C. With resolution hours away, traders are monitoring the final China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF model updates for any boundary-layer moisture or wind shifts that could alter the narrow 18–20 °C spread.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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