Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like ECMWF indicate an overnight low near 19°C for Shanghai on May 16, driving trader consensus to 50.5% implied probability on that outcome, with nearby 18°C and 20°C also prominent. Persistent cloud cover over the past 24-48 hours has trapped heat, elevating recent nighttime lows to around 20°C despite mid-May climatological averages of 17°C; however, subtle model shifts toward drier air and lighter southerly winds suggest a modest dip. Observational data from Shanghai stations confirms current mild conditions under overcast skies, with highs expected near 27°C. New CMA updates this afternoon could refine probabilities amid typical spring forecast uncertainty from variable humidity and urban heat effects.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
20°C 18%
18°C 17%
17°C 4.0%
16°C <1%
$14,451 KL.
$14,451 KL.
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C
17%
19°C
55%
20°C
18%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 18%
18°C 17%
17°C 4.0%
16°C <1%
$14,451 KL.
$14,451 KL.
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
$2,980 KL.
<1%
15°C
$2,933 KL.
<1%
16°C
$907 KL.
1%
17°C
$1,632 KL.
7%
18°C
$280 KL.
17%
19°C
$167 KL.
55%
20°C
$212 KL.
18%
21°C
$447 KL.
<1%
22°C
$615 KL.
<1%
23°C
$1,068 KL.
<1%
24°C or higher
$3,209 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like ECMWF indicate an overnight low near 19°C for Shanghai on May 16, driving trader consensus to 50.5% implied probability on that outcome, with nearby 18°C and 20°C also prominent. Persistent cloud cover over the past 24-48 hours has trapped heat, elevating recent nighttime lows to around 20°C despite mid-May climatological averages of 17°C; however, subtle model shifts toward drier air and lighter southerly winds suggest a modest dip. Observational data from Shanghai stations confirms current mild conditions under overcast skies, with highs expected near 27°C. New CMA updates this afternoon could refine probabilities amid typical spring forecast uncertainty from variable humidity and urban heat effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$14,451Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like ECMWF indicate an overnight low near 19°C for Shanghai on May 16, driving trader consensus to 50.5% implied probability on that outcome, with nearby 18°C and 20°C also prominent. Persistent cloud cover over the past 24-48 hours has trapped heat, elevating recent nighttime lows to around 20°C despite mid-May climatological averages of 17°C; however, subtle model shifts toward drier air and lighter southerly winds suggest a modest dip. Observational data from Shanghai stations confirms current mild conditions under overcast skies, with highs expected near 27°C. New CMA updates this afternoon could refine probabilities amid typical spring forecast uncertainty from variable humidity and urban heat effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$14,451Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDLatest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like ECMWF indicate an overnight low near 19°C for Shanghai on May 16, driving trader consensus to 50.5% implied probability on that outcome, with nearby 18°C and 20°C also prominent. Persistent cloud cover over the past 24-48 hours has trapped heat, elevating recent nighttime lows to around 20°C despite mid-May climatological averages of 17°C; however, subtle model shifts toward drier air and lighter southerly winds suggest a modest dip. Observational data from Shanghai stations confirms current mild conditions under overcast skies, with highs expected near 27°C. New CMA updates this afternoon could refine probabilities amid typical spring forecast uncertainty from variable humidity and urban heat effects.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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