Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 18 around 19–21°C at Pudong International Airport, fueling the tight trader consensus with 20°C leading at 28.5% implied probability amid 45–55% uncertainty. Mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover—prevalent in recent days—limit radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island effect in Shanghai elevates minima above historical mid-May averages of 18°C. Differentiation hinges on cloudiness: clearer skies could enable cooling to 19°C, but rising humidity or breezes favor 21–22°C. China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs tomorrow may refine this, as typical spring variability persists.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 18?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 18?
20°C 25%
19°C 19%
21°C 18%
22°C 18%
MỚI
MỚI
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
11%
18°C
12%
19°C
24%
20°C
30%
21°C
23%
22°C
18%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 25%
19°C 19%
21°C 18%
22°C 18%
MỚI
MỚI
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
$90 KL.
1%
16°C
$25 KL.
4%
17°C
$0 KL.
11%
18°C
$3 KL.
12%
19°C
$16 KL.
24%
20°C
$31 KL.
30%
21°C
$34 KL.
23%
22°C
$0 KL.
18%
23°C
$83 KL.
4%
24°C
$40 KL.
1%
25°C or higher
$51 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 18 around 19–21°C at Pudong International Airport, fueling the tight trader consensus with 20°C leading at 28.5% implied probability amid 45–55% uncertainty. Mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover—prevalent in recent days—limit radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island effect in Shanghai elevates minima above historical mid-May averages of 18°C. Differentiation hinges on cloudiness: clearer skies could enable cooling to 19°C, but rising humidity or breezes favor 21–22°C. China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs tomorrow may refine this, as typical spring variability persists.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$375Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 18 around 19–21°C at Pudong International Airport, fueling the tight trader consensus with 20°C leading at 28.5% implied probability amid 45–55% uncertainty. Mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover—prevalent in recent days—limit radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island effect in Shanghai elevates minima above historical mid-May averages of 18°C. Differentiation hinges on cloudiness: clearer skies could enable cooling to 19°C, but rising humidity or breezes favor 21–22°C. China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs tomorrow may refine this, as typical spring variability persists.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$375Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDLatest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 18 around 19–21°C at Pudong International Airport, fueling the tight trader consensus with 20°C leading at 28.5% implied probability amid 45–55% uncertainty. Mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover—prevalent in recent days—limit radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island effect in Shanghai elevates minima above historical mid-May averages of 18°C. Differentiation hinges on cloudiness: clearer skies could enable cooling to 19°C, but rising humidity or breezes favor 21–22°C. China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs tomorrow may refine this, as typical spring variability persists.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp