Massachusetts voters have long favored Democratic Senate candidates by wide margins in a state where no Republican has won since 2010, establishing a consistent base-rate advantage for the party nominee. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a clear lead in recent Democratic primary polling ahead of the September 1 contest against Seth Moulton, positioning the eventual nominee for strong general-election positioning on November 3. Limited Republican infrastructure and candidate recruitment further reinforce the lopsided trader consensus. A Democratic primary upset, major scandal involving the nominee, or an unprecedented national partisan shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though such developments have shown little traction in historical Massachusetts Senate contests.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMassachusetts Senate Election Winner
Massachusetts Senate Election Winner
$24,225 KL.
$24,225 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
98%
Republican
2%
$24,225 KL.
$24,225 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$18,799 KL.
98%
Republican
$5,426 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have long favored Democratic Senate candidates by wide margins in a state where no Republican has won since 2010, establishing a consistent base-rate advantage for the party nominee. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a clear lead in recent Democratic primary polling ahead of the September 1 contest against Seth Moulton, positioning the eventual nominee for strong general-election positioning on November 3. Limited Republican infrastructure and candidate recruitment further reinforce the lopsided trader consensus. A Democratic primary upset, major scandal involving the nominee, or an unprecedented national partisan shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though such developments have shown little traction in historical Massachusetts Senate contests.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$24,225Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have long favored Democratic Senate candidates by wide margins in a state where no Republican has won since 2010, establishing a consistent base-rate advantage for the party nominee. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a clear lead in recent Democratic primary polling ahead of the September 1 contest against Seth Moulton, positioning the eventual nominee for strong general-election positioning on November 3. Limited Republican infrastructure and candidate recruitment further reinforce the lopsided trader consensus. A Democratic primary upset, major scandal involving the nominee, or an unprecedented national partisan shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though such developments have shown little traction in historical Massachusetts Senate contests.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$24,225Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts voters have long favored Democratic Senate candidates by wide margins in a state where no Republican has won since 2010, establishing a consistent base-rate advantage for the party nominee. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a clear lead in recent Democratic primary polling ahead of the September 1 contest against Seth Moulton, positioning the eventual nominee for strong general-election positioning on November 3. Limited Republican infrastructure and candidate recruitment further reinforce the lopsided trader consensus. A Democratic primary upset, major scandal involving the nominee, or an unprecedented national partisan shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though such developments have shown little traction in historical Massachusetts Senate contests.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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