**Incumbent Rep. Troy Downing's (R) strong reelection bid dominates trader consensus in Montana's 2nd Congressional District House race, fueled by his 65.7% 2024 win and the district's deep-red eastern Montana terrain, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report.** Recent Democratic primary developments, including Jonathan Windy Boy's May 6 campaign unsuspension amid a crowded field with Brian Miller and Sam Lux ahead of the June 2 contest, have failed to generate upset momentum, as no polls indicate competitiveness and independents outpace Democrats in early fundraising. Odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of structural Republican advantages, with realistic challenges limited to a primary-induced GOP nominee weakness, Downing scandal or legal issue, health event, or broader national midterm wave.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMT-02 House Election Winner
MT-02 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,411 KL.
93%
Democratic Party
$2,914 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Rep. Troy Downing's (R) strong reelection bid dominates trader consensus in Montana's 2nd Congressional District House race, fueled by his 65.7% 2024 win and the district's deep-red eastern Montana terrain, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report.** Recent Democratic primary developments, including Jonathan Windy Boy's May 6 campaign unsuspension amid a crowded field with Brian Miller and Sam Lux ahead of the June 2 contest, have failed to generate upset momentum, as no polls indicate competitiveness and independents outpace Democrats in early fundraising. Odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of structural Republican advantages, with realistic challenges limited to a primary-induced GOP nominee weakness, Downing scandal or legal issue, health event, or broader national midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,324Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Rep. Troy Downing's (R) strong reelection bid dominates trader consensus in Montana's 2nd Congressional District House race, fueled by his 65.7% 2024 win and the district's deep-red eastern Montana terrain, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report.** Recent Democratic primary developments, including Jonathan Windy Boy's May 6 campaign unsuspension amid a crowded field with Brian Miller and Sam Lux ahead of the June 2 contest, have failed to generate upset momentum, as no polls indicate competitiveness and independents outpace Democrats in early fundraising. Odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of structural Republican advantages, with realistic challenges limited to a primary-induced GOP nominee weakness, Downing scandal or legal issue, health event, or broader national midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$9,324Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Rep. Troy Downing's (R) strong reelection bid dominates trader consensus in Montana's 2nd Congressional District House race, fueled by his 65.7% 2024 win and the district's deep-red eastern Montana terrain, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report.** Recent Democratic primary developments, including Jonathan Windy Boy's May 6 campaign unsuspension amid a crowded field with Brian Miller and Sam Lux ahead of the June 2 contest, have failed to generate upset momentum, as no polls indicate competitiveness and independents outpace Democrats in early fundraising. Odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of structural Republican advantages, with realistic challenges limited to a primary-induced GOP nominee weakness, Downing scandal or legal issue, health event, or broader national midterm wave.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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