Oklahoma's longstanding Republican advantage in federal elections, reinforced by its voting patterns and the state's partisan lean, underpins the strong market consensus favoring a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate contest. The seat became open after Markwayne Mullin resigned in March 2026 upon Senate confirmation as secretary of homeland security, with Alan Armstrong appointed as interim holder ineligible to seek a full term. Republican primary voters on June 16 will select from candidates including U.S. Representative Kevin Hern, who leads recent polling, while Democrats field a crowded but less prominent field. Forecasters rate the race as solidly Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal or turnout shifts that could alter the general election outcome on November 3. A major scandal or unusually high Democratic mobilization in the general election remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOklahoma Senate Election Winner
Oklahoma Senate Election Winner
$14,591 KL.
$14,591 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
92%
Democrat
6%
$14,591 KL.
$14,591 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$8,923 KL.
92%
Democrat
$5,669 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's longstanding Republican advantage in federal elections, reinforced by its voting patterns and the state's partisan lean, underpins the strong market consensus favoring a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate contest. The seat became open after Markwayne Mullin resigned in March 2026 upon Senate confirmation as secretary of homeland security, with Alan Armstrong appointed as interim holder ineligible to seek a full term. Republican primary voters on June 16 will select from candidates including U.S. Representative Kevin Hern, who leads recent polling, while Democrats field a crowded but less prominent field. Forecasters rate the race as solidly Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal or turnout shifts that could alter the general election outcome on November 3. A major scandal or unusually high Democratic mobilization in the general election remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$14,591Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's longstanding Republican advantage in federal elections, reinforced by its voting patterns and the state's partisan lean, underpins the strong market consensus favoring a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate contest. The seat became open after Markwayne Mullin resigned in March 2026 upon Senate confirmation as secretary of homeland security, with Alan Armstrong appointed as interim holder ineligible to seek a full term. Republican primary voters on June 16 will select from candidates including U.S. Representative Kevin Hern, who leads recent polling, while Democrats field a crowded but less prominent field. Forecasters rate the race as solidly Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal or turnout shifts that could alter the general election outcome on November 3. A major scandal or unusually high Democratic mobilization in the general election remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$14,591Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's longstanding Republican advantage in federal elections, reinforced by its voting patterns and the state's partisan lean, underpins the strong market consensus favoring a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate contest. The seat became open after Markwayne Mullin resigned in March 2026 upon Senate confirmation as secretary of homeland security, with Alan Armstrong appointed as interim holder ineligible to seek a full term. Republican primary voters on June 16 will select from candidates including U.S. Representative Kevin Hern, who leads recent polling, while Democrats field a crowded but less prominent field. Forecasters rate the race as solidly Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal or turnout shifts that could alter the general election outcome on November 3. A major scandal or unusually high Democratic mobilization in the general election remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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