Oklahoma's strong Republican lean, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1990, underpins the 95% trader consensus for a GOP win in the 2026 contest. Recent developments include Kevin Hern's decisive June primary victory as the Republican nominee, backed by endorsements and fundraising advantages, while Democrats advance to an August 25 runoff between Jim Priest and Jasmine Thomas amid a fragmented field. The state's voter registration edge, rural turnout patterns, and historical margins in federal races further solidify the implied probability reflected in current pricing. Late shifts could theoretically arise from a major candidate health event, unforeseen scandal, or national political realignment before November, though such factors have rarely altered outcomes in similarly positioned states.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOklahoma Senate Election Winner
Oklahoma Senate Election Winner
$19,316 KL.
$19,316 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
95%
Democrat
4%
$19,316 KL.
$19,316 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$12,735 KL.
95%
Democrat
$6,582 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's strong Republican lean, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1990, underpins the 95% trader consensus for a GOP win in the 2026 contest. Recent developments include Kevin Hern's decisive June primary victory as the Republican nominee, backed by endorsements and fundraising advantages, while Democrats advance to an August 25 runoff between Jim Priest and Jasmine Thomas amid a fragmented field. The state's voter registration edge, rural turnout patterns, and historical margins in federal races further solidify the implied probability reflected in current pricing. Late shifts could theoretically arise from a major candidate health event, unforeseen scandal, or national political realignment before November, though such factors have rarely altered outcomes in similarly positioned states.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$19,316Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's strong Republican lean, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1990, underpins the 95% trader consensus for a GOP win in the 2026 contest. Recent developments include Kevin Hern's decisive June primary victory as the Republican nominee, backed by endorsements and fundraising advantages, while Democrats advance to an August 25 runoff between Jim Priest and Jasmine Thomas amid a fragmented field. The state's voter registration edge, rural turnout patterns, and historical margins in federal races further solidify the implied probability reflected in current pricing. Late shifts could theoretically arise from a major candidate health event, unforeseen scandal, or national political realignment before November, though such factors have rarely altered outcomes in similarly positioned states.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$19,316Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's strong Republican lean, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1990, underpins the 95% trader consensus for a GOP win in the 2026 contest. Recent developments include Kevin Hern's decisive June primary victory as the Republican nominee, backed by endorsements and fundraising advantages, while Democrats advance to an August 25 runoff between Jim Priest and Jasmine Thomas amid a fragmented field. The state's voter registration edge, rural turnout patterns, and historical margins in federal races further solidify the implied probability reflected in current pricing. Late shifts could theoretically arise from a major candidate health event, unforeseen scandal, or national political realignment before November, though such factors have rarely altered outcomes in similarly positioned states.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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