Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois holding a steady lead at approximately 30 percent support ahead of the fixed October 5, 2026, general election, ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party and the governing Coalition Avenir Québec. This positioning reflects particular strength among francophone voters and fragmentation among other parties. Leadership transitions earlier in 2026 for the CAQ and PLQ produced only temporary gains that have since faded, leaving limited momentum for those options. First-past-the-post seat projections from models such as 338Canada assign the PQ a strong likelihood of securing the most seats, consistent with trader consensus reflected in current market prices. Roughly half of voters remain undecided, leaving room for shifts before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng trong cuộc Tổng tuyển cử Quebec
Người chiến thắng trong cuộc Tổng tuyển cử Quebec
PQ 73%
PLQ 15%
CAQ 14%
QS <1%
$764,026 KL.
$764,026 KL.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
73%
PLQ
15%
CAQ
14%
QS
<1%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 73%
PLQ 15%
CAQ 14%
QS <1%
$764,026 KL.
$764,026 KL.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$82,905 KL.
73%
PLQ
$102,416 KL.
15%
CAQ
$109,178 KL.
14%
QS
$101,896 KL.
<1%
PCQ
$210,131 KL.
<1%
PVQ
$157,498 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois holding a steady lead at approximately 30 percent support ahead of the fixed October 5, 2026, general election, ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party and the governing Coalition Avenir Québec. This positioning reflects particular strength among francophone voters and fragmentation among other parties. Leadership transitions earlier in 2026 for the CAQ and PLQ produced only temporary gains that have since faded, leaving limited momentum for those options. First-past-the-post seat projections from models such as 338Canada assign the PQ a strong likelihood of securing the most seats, consistent with trader consensus reflected in current market prices. Roughly half of voters remain undecided, leaving room for shifts before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Thị trường mở: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$764,026Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois holding a steady lead at approximately 30 percent support ahead of the fixed October 5, 2026, general election, ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party and the governing Coalition Avenir Québec. This positioning reflects particular strength among francophone voters and fragmentation among other parties. Leadership transitions earlier in 2026 for the CAQ and PLQ produced only temporary gains that have since faded, leaving limited momentum for those options. First-past-the-post seat projections from models such as 338Canada assign the PQ a strong likelihood of securing the most seats, consistent with trader consensus reflected in current market prices. Roughly half of voters remain undecided, leaving room for shifts before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Khối lượng
$764,026Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois holding a steady lead at approximately 30 percent support ahead of the fixed October 5, 2026, general election, ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party and the governing Coalition Avenir Québec. This positioning reflects particular strength among francophone voters and fragmentation among other parties. Leadership transitions earlier in 2026 for the CAQ and PLQ produced only temporary gains that have since faded, leaving limited momentum for those options. First-past-the-post seat projections from models such as 338Canada assign the PQ a strong likelihood of securing the most seats, consistent with trader consensus reflected in current market prices. Roughly half of voters remain undecided, leaving room for shifts before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
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