Recent polling trends position the Parti Québécois as the frontrunner in Quebec's upcoming general election, with support stabilizing near 30 percent amid a close contest against the Quebec Liberal Party. The Coalition Avenir Québec has shown modest gains under its new leadership following Premier François Legault's January 2026 resignation, yet remains well behind in voter intentions according to multiple surveys released in April and May. Quebec's first-past-the-post system amplifies advantages for parties with stronger regional concentrations, contributing to the current trader consensus reflected in these probabilities. Upcoming leadership transitions for the Liberals and continued CAQ recovery efforts represent key variables that could shift momentum before the vote, which must occur by October 2026 under the Election Act.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng trong cuộc Tổng tuyển cử Quebec
Người chiến thắng trong cuộc Tổng tuyển cử Quebec
PQ 59%
PLQ 29%
CAQ 10%
PCQ <1%
$505,101 KL.
$505,101 KL.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
59%
PLQ
29%
CAQ
10%
PCQ
1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 59%
PLQ 29%
CAQ 10%
PCQ <1%
$505,101 KL.
$505,101 KL.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$52,348 KL.
59%
PLQ
$56,150 KL.
29%
CAQ
$59,486 KL.
10%
PCQ
$164,004 KL.
1%
PVQ
$114,822 KL.
<1%
QS
$58,291 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling trends position the Parti Québécois as the frontrunner in Quebec's upcoming general election, with support stabilizing near 30 percent amid a close contest against the Quebec Liberal Party. The Coalition Avenir Québec has shown modest gains under its new leadership following Premier François Legault's January 2026 resignation, yet remains well behind in voter intentions according to multiple surveys released in April and May. Quebec's first-past-the-post system amplifies advantages for parties with stronger regional concentrations, contributing to the current trader consensus reflected in these probabilities. Upcoming leadership transitions for the Liberals and continued CAQ recovery efforts represent key variables that could shift momentum before the vote, which must occur by October 2026 under the Election Act.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Thị trường mở: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$505,101Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling trends position the Parti Québécois as the frontrunner in Quebec's upcoming general election, with support stabilizing near 30 percent amid a close contest against the Quebec Liberal Party. The Coalition Avenir Québec has shown modest gains under its new leadership following Premier François Legault's January 2026 resignation, yet remains well behind in voter intentions according to multiple surveys released in April and May. Quebec's first-past-the-post system amplifies advantages for parties with stronger regional concentrations, contributing to the current trader consensus reflected in these probabilities. Upcoming leadership transitions for the Liberals and continued CAQ recovery efforts represent key variables that could shift momentum before the vote, which must occur by October 2026 under the Election Act.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Khối lượng
$505,101Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling trends position the Parti Québécois as the frontrunner in Quebec's upcoming general election, with support stabilizing near 30 percent amid a close contest against the Quebec Liberal Party. The Coalition Avenir Québec has shown modest gains under its new leadership following Premier François Legault's January 2026 resignation, yet remains well behind in voter intentions according to multiple surveys released in April and May. Quebec's first-past-the-post system amplifies advantages for parties with stronger regional concentrations, contributing to the current trader consensus reflected in these probabilities. Upcoming leadership transitions for the Liberals and continued CAQ recovery efforts represent key variables that could shift momentum before the vote, which must occur by October 2026 under the Election Act.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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