Traders assign the highest implied probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by December 31, reflecting the absence of confirmed summit announcements or scheduled bilateral engagements through the remainder of 2026. China leads among specific venues, consistent with its established role in hosting multilateral diplomacy and its position outside direct NATO or EU alignment. Lower odds for the United States, Turkey, or other European sites indicate limited near-term expectations for a Western or neutral-ground encounter. Current market pricing incorporates the lack of recent breakthroughs in U.S.-Russia relations or upcoming calendar events that would force resolution before year-end, while acknowledging that new diplomatic signals could still alter positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 60%
China 33%
United States 4.1%
Other <1%
$492,417 KL.
$492,417 KL.

No meeting by December 31
60%

China
33%

United States
4%

Other
1%

Gulf country
1%

Other EU country
1%

Turkey
1%

Russia
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 60%
China 33%
United States 4.1%
Other <1%
$492,417 KL.
$492,417 KL.

No meeting by December 31
60%

China
33%

United States
4%

Other
1%

Gulf country
1%

Other EU country
1%

Turkey
1%

Russia
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by December 31, reflecting the absence of confirmed summit announcements or scheduled bilateral engagements through the remainder of 2026. China leads among specific venues, consistent with its established role in hosting multilateral diplomacy and its position outside direct NATO or EU alignment. Lower odds for the United States, Turkey, or other European sites indicate limited near-term expectations for a Western or neutral-ground encounter. Current market pricing incorporates the lack of recent breakthroughs in U.S.-Russia relations or upcoming calendar events that would force resolution before year-end, while acknowledging that new diplomatic signals could still alter positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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