The Trump administration’s expansion of industrial policy since January 2025 has driven direct equity investments totaling over $20 billion across roughly sixteen deals, primarily to secure domestic semiconductor production, critical minerals supply chains, and defense manufacturing amid competition with China. The largest transaction converted CHIPS Act funding into a 9.9 percent stake in Intel in August 2025, while additional positions were taken in MP Materials, Lithium Americas, U.S. Steel (via a golden share), and several smaller mineral processors. This approach supplements traditional grants and loans with ownership rights that allow oversight of strategic decisions. Trader sentiment on remaining candidates centers on defense contractors such as Anduril and Lockheed Martin, quantum firms including Rigetti, and other technology companies, reflecting expectations that national-security priorities will continue to shape deal flow through at least the end of 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$82,969 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Anduril
28%
Boeing
25%
TSMC
14%
OpenAI
13%
Palantir
26%
Nvidia
11%
GlobalFoundries
21%
Lockheed Martin
17%
TikTok US / Bytedance
22%
Freeport-McMoRan
41%
IonQ
16%
Micron
17%
D-Wave
31%
Anthropic
19%
Rigetti
23%
Eli Lilly
18%
Pfizer
44%
Samsung Electronics
19%
$82,969 KL.
Anduril
$39,485 KL.
28%
Boeing
$845 KL.
25%
TSMC
$411 KL.
14%
OpenAI
$1,150 KL.
13%
Palantir
$438 KL.
26%
Nvidia
$8,828 KL.
11%
GlobalFoundries
$896 KL.
21%
Lockheed Martin
$646 KL.
17%
TikTok US / Bytedance
$371 KL.
22%
Freeport-McMoRan
$616 KL.
41%
IonQ
$194 KL.
16%
Micron
$1,032 KL.
17%
D-Wave
$499 KL.
31%
Anthropic
$899 KL.
19%
Rigetti
$19,055 KL.
23%
Eli Lilly
$187 KL.
18%
Pfizer
$192 KL.
44%
Samsung Electronics
$7,226 KL.
19%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration’s expansion of industrial policy since January 2025 has driven direct equity investments totaling over $20 billion across roughly sixteen deals, primarily to secure domestic semiconductor production, critical minerals supply chains, and defense manufacturing amid competition with China. The largest transaction converted CHIPS Act funding into a 9.9 percent stake in Intel in August 2025, while additional positions were taken in MP Materials, Lithium Americas, U.S. Steel (via a golden share), and several smaller mineral processors. This approach supplements traditional grants and loans with ownership rights that allow oversight of strategic decisions. Trader sentiment on remaining candidates centers on defense contractors such as Anduril and Lockheed Martin, quantum firms including Rigetti, and other technology companies, reflecting expectations that national-security priorities will continue to shape deal flow through at least the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
Khối lượng
$82,969Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration’s expansion of industrial policy since January 2025 has driven direct equity investments totaling over $20 billion across roughly sixteen deals, primarily to secure domestic semiconductor production, critical minerals supply chains, and defense manufacturing amid competition with China. The largest transaction converted CHIPS Act funding into a 9.9 percent stake in Intel in August 2025, while additional positions were taken in MP Materials, Lithium Americas, U.S. Steel (via a golden share), and several smaller mineral processors. This approach supplements traditional grants and loans with ownership rights that allow oversight of strategic decisions. Trader sentiment on remaining candidates centers on defense contractors such as Anduril and Lockheed Martin, quantum firms including Rigetti, and other technology companies, reflecting expectations that national-security priorities will continue to shape deal flow through at least the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$82,969Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration’s expansion of industrial policy since January 2025 has driven direct equity investments totaling over $20 billion across roughly sixteen deals, primarily to secure domestic semiconductor production, critical minerals supply chains, and defense manufacturing amid competition with China. The largest transaction converted CHIPS Act funding into a 9.9 percent stake in Intel in August 2025, while additional positions were taken in MP Materials, Lithium Americas, U.S. Steel (via a golden share), and several smaller mineral processors. This approach supplements traditional grants and loans with ownership rights that allow oversight of strategic decisions. Trader sentiment on remaining candidates centers on defense contractors such as Anduril and Lockheed Martin, quantum firms including Rigetti, and other technology companies, reflecting expectations that national-security priorities will continue to shape deal flow through at least the end of 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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