Diplomatic expulsions of U.S. ambassadors remain rare, with the most recent U.S. action occurring in March 2025 when Washington declared South Africa's envoy persona non grata. As of August 2026, a Canadian parliamentary petition exceeding 170,000 signatures seeks to remove Ambassador Pete Hoekstra over bilateral tensions, yet Ottawa has taken no formal steps toward expulsion or declaration of persona non grata. Multiple U.S. ambassadorial posts stay vacant due to domestic nomination and confirmation processes, limiting potential flashpoints. Traders price the "No" outcome at 77.5% through year-end, reflecting the high threshold for such sovereign actions, absence of confirmed escalations, and historical precedent favoring diplomatic continuity over abrupt expulsions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật15% khả năng
$22,196 KL.
$22,196 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
15% khả năng
$22,196 KL.
$22,196 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Diplomatic expulsions of U.S. ambassadors remain rare, with the most recent U.S. action occurring in March 2025 when Washington declared South Africa's envoy persona non grata. As of August 2026, a Canadian parliamentary petition exceeding 170,000 signatures seeks to remove Ambassador Pete Hoekstra over bilateral tensions, yet Ottawa has taken no formal steps toward expulsion or declaration of persona non grata. Multiple U.S. ambassadorial posts stay vacant due to domestic nomination and confirmation processes, limiting potential flashpoints. Traders price the "No" outcome at 77.5% through year-end, reflecting the high threshold for such sovereign actions, absence of confirmed escalations, and historical precedent favoring diplomatic continuity over abrupt expulsions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Khối lượng
$22,196Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Diplomatic expulsions of U.S. ambassadors remain rare, with the most recent U.S. action occurring in March 2025 when Washington declared South Africa's envoy persona non grata. As of August 2026, a Canadian parliamentary petition exceeding 170,000 signatures seeks to remove Ambassador Pete Hoekstra over bilateral tensions, yet Ottawa has taken no formal steps toward expulsion or declaration of persona non grata. Multiple U.S. ambassadorial posts stay vacant due to domestic nomination and confirmation processes, limiting potential flashpoints. Traders price the "No" outcome at 77.5% through year-end, reflecting the high threshold for such sovereign actions, absence of confirmed escalations, and historical precedent favoring diplomatic continuity over abrupt expulsions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$22,196Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic expulsions of U.S. ambassadors remain rare, with the most recent U.S. action occurring in March 2025 when Washington declared South Africa's envoy persona non grata. As of August 2026, a Canadian parliamentary petition exceeding 170,000 signatures seeks to remove Ambassador Pete Hoekstra over bilateral tensions, yet Ottawa has taken no formal steps toward expulsion or declaration of persona non grata. Multiple U.S. ambassadorial posts stay vacant due to domestic nomination and confirmation processes, limiting potential flashpoints. Traders price the "No" outcome at 77.5% through year-end, reflecting the high threshold for such sovereign actions, absence of confirmed escalations, and historical precedent favoring diplomatic continuity over abrupt expulsions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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