Canada’s labor market has stabilized below the 7.1% peak reached in August and September 2025, with the unemployment rate rising modestly to 6.9% in April 2026 after holding at 6.7% in March. Recent Statistics Canada data show employment little changed amid rising labor-force participation, while private-sector forecasts point to a full-year 2026 average near 6.5%, well below levels seen since 2016 and consistent with a gradual downshift supported by resilient domestic demand. This trajectory underpins the 91% market-implied probability on “No,” reflecting trader consensus that the annual rate will not set a new post-2016 high. Key swing factors remain potential U.S. tariff impacts or sharper labor-supply growth that could push readings above 7.1% before year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
MỚI
Feb 15, 2027
MỚI
MỚI
Feb 15, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Canada’s labor market has stabilized below the 7.1% peak reached in August and September 2025, with the unemployment rate rising modestly to 6.9% in April 2026 after holding at 6.7% in March. Recent Statistics Canada data show employment little changed amid rising labor-force participation, while private-sector forecasts point to a full-year 2026 average near 6.5%, well below levels seen since 2016 and consistent with a gradual downshift supported by resilient domestic demand. This trajectory underpins the 91% market-implied probability on “No,” reflecting trader consensus that the annual rate will not set a new post-2016 high. Key swing factors remain potential U.S. tariff impacts or sharper labor-supply growth that could push readings above 7.1% before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Thị trường mở: Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,345Ngày kết thúc
Feb 15, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Canada’s labor market has stabilized below the 7.1% peak reached in August and September 2025, with the unemployment rate rising modestly to 6.9% in April 2026 after holding at 6.7% in March. Recent Statistics Canada data show employment little changed amid rising labor-force participation, while private-sector forecasts point to a full-year 2026 average near 6.5%, well below levels seen since 2016 and consistent with a gradual downshift supported by resilient domestic demand. This trajectory underpins the 91% market-implied probability on “No,” reflecting trader consensus that the annual rate will not set a new post-2016 high. Key swing factors remain potential U.S. tariff impacts or sharper labor-supply growth that could push readings above 7.1% before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Khối lượng
$6,345Ngày kết thúc
Feb 15, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada’s labor market has stabilized below the 7.1% peak reached in August and September 2025, with the unemployment rate rising modestly to 6.9% in April 2026 after holding at 6.7% in March. Recent Statistics Canada data show employment little changed amid rising labor-force participation, while private-sector forecasts point to a full-year 2026 average near 6.5%, well below levels seen since 2016 and consistent with a gradual downshift supported by resilient domestic demand. This trajectory underpins the 91% market-implied probability on “No,” reflecting trader consensus that the annual rate will not set a new post-2016 high. Key swing factors remain potential U.S. tariff impacts or sharper labor-supply growth that could push readings above 7.1% before year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp