The Alagoas Senate race for the two available seats remains highly competitive ahead of the October 2026 vote, with Renan Calheiros (MDB) holding a narrow lead in trader pricing amid a fragmented field. Recent party conventions have confirmed multiple MDB nominees alongside challengers such as Arthur Lira (PP) and Davi Davino Filho (Republicanos), while the late withdrawal of a leading contender has redistributed support without producing a clear frontrunner. Polling shows the top names clustered within margins of error, and structural factors including incumbency advantages, regional alliances, and vote-splitting among centrist and right-leaning tickets sustain the tight implied probabilities. Scheduled conventions and alliance negotiations in the coming weeks could shift momentum before ballots open.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於雷南 36%
汪德雷博士 26%
馬列德森 23%
瑪麗娜·JHC 23%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
雷南
51%
汪德雷博士
26%
馬列德森
23%
瑪麗娜·JHC
23%
達維·達維諾·菲略
23%
亞瑟·利拉
22%
亞歷山大·弗萊明
21%
雷南 36%
汪德雷博士 26%
馬列德森 23%
瑪麗娜·JHC 23%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
雷南
$20 交易量
51%
汪德雷博士
$0 交易量
26%
馬列德森
$0 交易量
23%
瑪麗娜·JHC
$0 交易量
23%
達維·達維諾·菲略
$0 交易量
23%
亞瑟·利拉
$0 交易量
22%
亞歷山大·弗萊明
$71 交易量
21%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Alagoas Senate race for the two available seats remains highly competitive ahead of the October 2026 vote, with Renan Calheiros (MDB) holding a narrow lead in trader pricing amid a fragmented field. Recent party conventions have confirmed multiple MDB nominees alongside challengers such as Arthur Lira (PP) and Davi Davino Filho (Republicanos), while the late withdrawal of a leading contender has redistributed support without producing a clear frontrunner. Polling shows the top names clustered within margins of error, and structural factors including incumbency advantages, regional alliances, and vote-splitting among centrist and right-leaning tickets sustain the tight implied probabilities. Scheduled conventions and alliance negotiations in the coming weeks could shift momentum before ballots open.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
交易量
$91結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Alagoas Senate race for the two available seats remains highly competitive ahead of the October 2026 vote, with Renan Calheiros (MDB) holding a narrow lead in trader pricing amid a fragmented field. Recent party conventions have confirmed multiple MDB nominees alongside challengers such as Arthur Lira (PP) and Davi Davino Filho (Republicanos), while the late withdrawal of a leading contender has redistributed support without producing a clear frontrunner. Polling shows the top names clustered within margins of error, and structural factors including incumbency advantages, regional alliances, and vote-splitting among centrist and right-leaning tickets sustain the tight implied probabilities. Scheduled conventions and alliance negotiations in the coming weeks could shift momentum before ballots open.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$91結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Alagoas Senate race for the two available seats remains highly competitive ahead of the October 2026 vote, with Renan Calheiros (MDB) holding a narrow lead in trader pricing amid a fragmented field. Recent party conventions have confirmed multiple MDB nominees alongside challengers such as Arthur Lira (PP) and Davi Davino Filho (Republicanos), while the late withdrawal of a leading contender has redistributed support without producing a clear frontrunner. Polling shows the top names clustered within margins of error, and structural factors including incumbency advantages, regional alliances, and vote-splitting among centrist and right-leaning tickets sustain the tight implied probabilities. Scheduled conventions and alliance negotiations in the coming weeks could shift momentum before ballots open.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions